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Gut and Liver is an international journal of gastroenterology, focusing on the gastrointestinal tract, liver, biliary tree, pancreas, motility, and neurogastroenterology. Gut atnd Liver delivers up-to-date, authoritative papers on both clinical and research-based topics in gastroenterology. The Journal publishes original articles, case reports, brief communications, letters to the editor and invited review articles in the field of gastroenterology. The Journal is operated by internationally renowned editorial boards and designed to provide a global opportunity to promote academic developments in the field of gastroenterology and hepatology. +MORE
Yong Chan Lee |
Professor of Medicine Director, Gastrointestinal Research Laboratory Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Univ. California San Francisco San Francisco, USA |
Jong Pil Im | Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea |
Robert S. Bresalier | University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, USA |
Steven H. Itzkowitz | Mount Sinai Medical Center, NY, USA |
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Liyi Bai , Wei Jiang , Rui Cheng , Yan Dang , Li Min , Shutian Zhang
Correspondence to: Shutian Zhang
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2356-4397
E-mail zhangshutian@ccmu.edu.cn
Liyi Bai and Wei Jiang contributed equally to this work as first authors.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Gut Liver 2023;17(4):566-580. https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl220291
Published online December 29, 2022, Published date July 15, 2023
Copyright © Gut and Liver.
Background/Aims: In patients with acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB), the optimal timing of endoscopy is still a matter of dispute. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the clinical benefit of early endoscopy.
Methods: A literature search of the MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane databases was conducted to identify publications from inception to March 1, 2022. Eligible studies included observational cohort studies and randomized controlled trials that reported clinical outcomes of endoscopy in patients with ANVUGIB. ANVUGIB patients who underwent endoscopy within 24 hours of admission were considered to have had an early endoscopy. The primary outcome was the mortality rate in ANVUGIB patients who had early or nonearly endoscopy.
Results: The final analysis included five randomized controlled studies (RCTs) and 20 observational studies from the 1,206 identified articles. The mortality rate was not significantly reduced among patients who received endoscopy performed within 24 hours, whether in cohort studies nor in RCTs. For subgroup analysis, a higher mortality rate was found only among patients who received very early endoscopy within 12 hours (odds ratio, 1.66; p<0.001, I2=0) in cohort studies. No significant difference in mortality rates was found among patients at high risk of bleeding who received early versus nonearly endoscopy.
Conclusions: Early endoscopy within 24 hours does not appear to significantly reduce the mortality rates of patients with ANVUGIB. Further well-designed studies are warranted to address if very early endoscopy within 12 hours can provide a clinical benefit for patients at high risk of bleeding.
Keywords: Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal hemorrhage, Severity of illness index, Mortality, Meta-analysis
Acute gastrointestinal bleeding is a common but serious medical emergency in clinical practice. It imposes a massive burden on global healthcare use each year and has a negative impact on patient survival.1-3 Endoscopy is the gold standard for investigating the bleeding source and providing a direct view for therapeutic interventions. It was reported that approximately 90% of culprit lesion locations can be found under endoscopy in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB).4 Furthermore, performance of endoscopic interventions dramatically reduced the risks of recurrent bleeding, need for surgery, and mortality.5-7 In spite of numerous studies showing the efficiency of endoscopy for UGIB, one of the most crucial considerations in the entire procedure, the optimal timing of endoscopy performance remains unconfirmed.
In the management of UGIB, it is widely accepted that endoscopy should be performed within 24 hours of admission.8,9 However, there is a scarcity of data to back up this recommendation, and the majority of studies that did assess the clinical benefits of endoscopy within 24 hours were of poor quality.10-13 Another question that remains unanswered is whether endoscopy conducted within a shorter time frame such as 6 to 8 hours can improve the prognosis of patients who are at high risk of bleeding (e.g. Glasgow-Blatchford score, Rockall score, or hemodynamic parameters).14-18 According to the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy in 2021, the risk of procedure-related adverse events is higher in patients who undergo early or emergent endoscopy (within 12 hours or 6 hours).19 However, the Asia-Pacific Working Group accepted that in patients with hemodynamic shock or instability, early endoscopy performed within 12 hours after admission, may provide benefits to patients after initial resuscitation and stabilization.20 What is more, the American College of Gastroenterology has recently recommended both low- and high-risk patients should undergo endoscopy within 24 hours for economic effectiveness and clinical benefit.21
There have been a few systematic reviews and meta-analyses to look at these unsolved questions based on the present contradicting data. One review found that early endoscopy was safe and helpful in patients with acute UGIB, while others showed that it did not enhance clinical outcomes such as recurrent bleeding, mortality, or length of stay (LOS).22-25 Furthermore, four recent randomized controlled studies (RCTs) with varied definitions of time have also yielded conflicting findings. Only one study by Lee
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020 guidelines were followed in the conduct of this review.34 We used MEDLINE (OvidSP), Embase (OvidSP), and the Cochrane bibliographic database to look for papers published between January 1, 1980, and March 1, 2022. The search strategy was devised with the help of a medical librarian and was detailed in the Supplementary Material.
Two independent reviewers (B.L.Y. and J.W.) initially screened all publications by title and abstract. Observational cohort studies and randomized controlled trials reporting on the clinical outcomes of individuals with acute UGIB hospitalized for endoscopic assessment were included in this review. Studies were ineligible for consideration if they: (1) were case reports, reviews, re-analyses of public datasets, or conference abstracts; (2) did not compare the outcomes between early and nonearly arms; (3) only focused on variceal gastrointestinal bleeding; (4) were an irrelevant study on current clinical practice; (5) had a vague definition of the time frame for early endoscopy; and (6) were not reported in English. RCTs and observational cohort studies were pooled and analyzed separately. The data collected included the following: study and patient characteristics (e.g., first author, year of publication, study design, site/country, risk of bleeding, number of patients who underwent early endoscopy or nonearly endoscopy, time frame for early endoscopy) and outcomes. The data were rechecked if there was a discrepancy.
Early endoscopy was defined as a patient with acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB) who underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy within 24 hours after admission. Procedures performed after 24 hours were regarded as nonearly endoscopy which served as the comparator. We defined those procedures which were performed with shorter time frames ranging from 3 to 12 hours as very early endoscopy. A subgroup analysis was subsequently performed on studies that assessed the clinical outcomes of very early endoscopy. The bleeding risk was evaluated based on: (1) symptoms of overt UGIB (witnessed hematemesis, bloody nasogastric aspirate, or hematochezia) or hemodynamic instability (systolic blood pressure <100 mm Hg or heart rate >100 beats/min); (2) abnormal laboratory indices (hemoglobin <12 g/dL and urea >6.5 mmol/L); (3) risk factors such as age >60 years, ischemic heart disease, liver disease, cardiac failure, and metastatic malignancy, and (4) have high-risk stigmata on endoscopy (spurting, gushing, oozing bleeding, or non-bleeding visible vessel). Patients who met at least one of the standards above were regarded as high-risk bleeding populations.
The primary outcome was the odds ratio for mortality in the included population. Secondary outcomes included recurrent bleeding, surgery, primary hemostasis, angiographic embolization, LOS, need for repeat endoscopy, and requirement for blood transfusion. We performed a subgroup analysis to investigate the difference in clinical outcomes between Eastern and Western populations. The East included South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan while the West included the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Switzerland, and Poland, as determined by included studies.
The quality of observational cohort studies was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.35 There are three domains in the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (maximum 9 stars): selection (representativeness of cases, selection of controls, ascertainment of exposure, and demonstration that the outcome of interest was not existent at the beginning of the study); comparability (comparability of cohorts based on the design or analysis); and outcome (evaluation of outcome, length of follow-up necessary for outcomes to occur, appropriateness of follow-up of cohorts). The risk of bias assessment developed by the Cochrane group was used to evaluate RCT.36 The tool consists of seven domains, which are sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of participants and personnel, blinding of outcome assessors, incomplete outcome data, selective outcome reporting, and other biases. Any disagreement was solved by consensus.
RevMan 5.4 software was used to conduct all statistical analyses in accordance with the Cochrane Collaboration methods. Data from observational cohort studies and RCTs were pooled for meta-analysis. Subgroup analysis was performed in terms of timing and patient population.
Continuous variables are provided as means and standard deviations (SD), whereas categorical variables are expressed as percentages. Online calculators were used to determine the sample mean and SD for studies that only provided the median and interquartile range.37 The largest SD from other research was utilized for studies that did not publish their SD and for which the authors did not respond. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were used to compare dichotomous outcomes. Mean differences (MDs) were handled as continuous variables using the inverse variance approach. I2 statistics were used to evaluate heterogeneity. When there was no statistically significant heterogeneity among studies (I2<50%, p>0.1), a fixed-effects model (Mantel-Haenszel method) was used to calculate the pooled estimates, otherwise a random effects model (DerSimonian and Laird method) was used. If the p-value was less than 0.05, it was thought to be statistically significant. The Mantel-Haenszel method with a fixed-effects model was used to conduct sensitivity studies when statistical heterogeneity was found. Patient populations, sample sizes, study designs, intervention types, and outcome definitions from various studies were all examined for any possible clinical heterogeneity. If at least 10 citations were found, publication bias was assessed using funnel plots for all comparisons.
We found a total of 1,206 papers by searching databases, and 1,114 of those were discarded because of issues with the abstract, title, duplication, or the lack of full-text availability. The full texts of 92 papers were assessed afterward, and a further 67 publications were excluded (Fig. 1). Twenty-five studies (five RCTs and 20 observational cohort studies) were included in the meta-analysis (Table 1). For a timing cutoff of 24 hours, 13 observational cohort studies compared outcome parameters in patients with ANVUGIB.10-13,29-31,38-43 Seven observational cohort studies14,16-18,33,43,44 and two RCTs15,28 included patients at high risk of bleeding, with time frames ranging from 6 to 12 hours.
Table 1 Details and Characteristics of the Included Studies
Author (year) | Types of study | Country | Study population | High-risk bleeding* | Time frames for early endoscopy (1) | Time frames for early endoscopy (2) | Sample size (early) | Sample size (non-early) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 1,854 | 738 | |
Wierzchowski | Retrospective cohort study | Poland | UGIB | NA | 24 | 295 | 187 | |
Chak | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | High-risk | 24 | 166 | 36 | |
Kim | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 24 | 187 | 66 | |
Cho | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 571 | 390 | |
Lau | Randomized controlled trial | Hong Kong | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 258 | 258 | |
Tai | Retrospective cohort study | Taiwan | UGIB | High-risk | 8 | 88 | 101 | |
Targownik | Retrospective cohort study | Canada | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 77 | 92 | |
Kumar | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | High-risk | 12 | Total (n=89), high-risk (n=41) | Total (n=272), high-risk (n=80) | |
Lee | Randomized controlled trial | USA | UGIB | NA | 2 | 56 | 54 | |
Bjorkman | Randomized controlled trial | USA | UGIB | NA | 6 | 47 | 46 | |
Lin | Randomized controlled trial | Taiwan | UGIB | High-risk | 12 | Total (n=162), high-risk (n=53) | Total (n=163), high-risk (n=54) | |
Iqbal | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 33 | 146 | |
Jairath | Prospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 12 | 24 | <12 hr (n=834), 12-24 hr (n=1,190) | >24 hr (n=2,158) |
Saleem | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 12 | 24 | <12 hr (n=61), 12–24 hr (n=94) | >24 hr (n=96) |
Schacher | Retrospective cohort study | Switzerland | UGIB | NA | 3 | 43 | 38 | |
Ahn | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 8 | Total (n=60), high-risk (n=18) | Total (n=98), high-risk (n=36) | |
El-Dallal | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 24,830 | 96,005 | |
Siau | Retrospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 24 | 205 | 143 | |
Garg | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 870,159 | 631,412 | |
Sarin | Retrospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 6 | 24 | <6 hr (n=72), 6–24 hr (n=198) | >24 hr (n=232) |
Cooper | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 583 | 326 | |
Guo | Retrospective cohort study | Hong Kong | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 24 | <6 hr (n=1,008), 6–24 hr (n=3,865) | >24 hr (n=1,601) |
Horibe | Retrospective cohort study | Japan | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 115 | 115 | |
Whorwell | Randomized controlled trial | UK | UGIB | NA | 6 | 54 | 46 |
UGIB, upper gastrointestinal bleeding; NA, not available.
*The risk of bleeding was evaluated and confirmed based on (1) symptoms of overt UGIB (witnessed hematemesis, bloody nasogastric aspirate, or hematochezia) or hemodynamic instability (systolic blood pressure <100 mm Hg or heart rate >100 beats/min); (2) abnormal laboratory indices (hemoglobin <12 g/dL and urea >6.5 mmol/L); (3) risk factors including age >60 years, ischemic heart disease, liver disease, cardiac failure, and metastatic malignancy and (4) have high-risk stigmata on endoscopy. Patients with at least one of the standards above were regarded as high-risk bleeding populations and included in the subgroup analysis.
The principal results in the included studies were shown in Table 2. The meta-analysis of 13 observational cohort studies found no significant difference in mortality rates when endoscopy was performed within 24 hours of admission compared to that performed after 24 hours (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.54; p=0.44; I2=96%) (Fig. 2A).10-13,28-31,38-43 Three observational cohort studies of patients at high-risk of bleeding reported outcomes within 24 hours and it demonstrated no significant difference in mortality rates between early and nonearly endoscopy arms (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.69 to 1.09; p=0.21, I2=26%).12,13,43
Table 2 Principal Results of the Included Studies (Early vs Non-Early)
Author (year) | Mortality, % | Recurrent bleeding, % | Surgery, % | Blood transfusion, % | Primary hemostasis, % | Angiographic embolization, % | Repeat endoscopy, % | Length of stay, mean±SD, day |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper | 6.2 vs 7.3 | NA | 1.2 vs 3.4 | NA | 31.8 vs 32.9 | NA | NA | 4.78±2.75 vs 7.19±4.74 |
Wierzchowski | 6.78 vs 9.09 | 12.2 vs 18.2 | 2.37 vs 6.42 | NA | 88.5 vs 40.1 | NA | NA | 4.3±11.91 vs 4.79±27.22 |
Chak | 4.2 vs 5.6 | 16.9 vs 19.4 | 6.0 vs 5.6 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 6.31±3.8 vs 7±2.97 |
Kim | 46.5 vs 39.4 | 20.3 vs 25.6 | 1.6 vs 0 | NA | 32.1 vs 12.1 | 14.4 vs 15.2 | 20.3 vs 15.2 | 52.0±48.3 vs 57.4±58.8 |
Cho | 1.6 vs 3.8 | 11.4 vs 9.0 | 1.1 vs 0 | NA | 69.5 vs 53.3 | 2.8 vs 0.5 | NA | 6.7±7.8 vs 6.4±7.5 |
Lau | ANVUGIB: 7.3 vs 6.3 | ANVUGIB: 9.9 vs 6.7 | ANVUGIB: 0.96 vs 0 | ANVUGIB: 90.6 vs 91.6 | ANVUGIB: 57.9 vs 45.2 | ANVUGIB: 0.86 vs 0.84 | NA | ANVUGIB: 7.64±7.63 vs 6.81±6.61 |
AVUGIB: 24.0 vs 10.5 | AVUGIB: 16.0 vs 15.8 | AVUGIB: 0 vs 5.3 | AVUGIB: 80.0 vs 78.9 | AVUGIB: 80.0 vs 89.5 | AVUGIB: 4.0 vs 0 | AVUGIB: 8.88±7.60 vs 7.95±4.14 | ||
Tai | 1 vs 6 | 7 vs 10 | 0 vs 0 | 74 vs 78 | 95 vs 95 | 2 (2) vs 4 (4), p=0.687 | 33 vs 50 | 5.1±5 vs 6.0±7.7 |
Targownik | 8 vs 6 | 9 vs 8 | 8 vs 2 | NA | 53 vs 37 | NA | 10 v s 15 | 4±15.16 vs 4±12.76 |
Kumar | Total: 4 vs 1, high-risk: 5 vs 1 | Total: 11 vs 4, high-risk: 12 vs 6 | Total: 4 vs 0, high-risk: 2 vs 0 | Total: 85 vs 75, high-risk: 98 vs 99 | NA | Total: 6 vs 1, high-risk: 7 vs 2 | Total: 10 vs 1, high-risk: 7 vs 2 | Total: 4.3±4.2 vs 4.0±4.0, high-risk: NA |
Lee | 0 vs 3.7 | 3.6 vs 5.6 | 3.6 vs 1.9 | NA | NA | NA | 7.1 vs 7.4 | 2.35±3.6 vs 2.43±0.86 |
Bjorkman | 0 vs 0 | NA | 2.1 vs 2.2 | 40.4 vs 32.6 | NA | 0 vs 0 | 8.5 vs 2.2 | 3.98±3.89 vs 3.26±3.17 |
Lin | 3.8 vs 1.8 | 5.7 vs 9.2 | 5.7 vs 7.4 | NA | 43.4 vs 42.6 | NA | NA | 4.7±4.4 vs 4.2±6 |
Iqbal | 6.8 vs 6.1 | 8.3 vs 12.1 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 6.1±11.91 vs 6.0±27.22 |
Jairath | <12 hr: 9.0 | <12 hr: 19.7 | 7.6 vs 3.3 vs 2.2 | <12 hr: 49.2 | NA | NA | NA | <12 hr: 11.46±15.16 |
12–24 hr: 6.3 | 12–24 hr: 10.9 | 12–24 hr: 37.1 | 12–24 hr: 8.04±8.96 | |||||
>24 hr: 5.4 | >24 hr: 8.8 | >24 hr: 31.7 | >24 hr: 15.37±27.22 | |||||
Saleem | <12 hr: 1.64 | NA | <12 hr: 3.28 | <12 hr: 54.10 | <12 hr: 35.71 | <12 hr: 4.92 | <12 hr: 26.23 | NA |
12–24 hr: 1.06 | 12–24 hr: 2.13 | 12–24 hr: 48.94 | 12–24 hr: 33.33; | 12–24 hr: 2.13 | 12–24 hr: 4.26 | |||
>24 hr: 1.04 | >24 hr:1.04 | >24 hr:50.0 | >24 hr:77.78 | >24 hr:1.04 | >24 hr:2.08 | |||
Schacher | 0 vs 0 | 14 vs 16 | 9.3 vs 7.9 | NA | 76.7 vs 47.4 | NA | NA | 5.9±15.16 vs 5.1±12.76 |
Ahn | Total: 1.7 vs 2.0, high-risk: 0 vs 5.6 | Total: 6.7 vs 5.1, high-risk: 11.1 vs 13.9 | Total: 0 vs 1.0, high-risk: 0 vs 2.8 | NA | Total: 71.1 vs 35.7, high-risk:61.1 vs 41.7 | Total: 5 vs 2.0, high-risk:11.1 vs 2.8 | Total: 3.3 vs 3.1, high-risk:5.6 vs 8.3 | Total: 7.3±5.2 vs 9.1±9.4, high-risk: 7.7±5.3 vs 12.0±9.9 |
El-Dallal | 2.5 vs 1.8 | NA | 1.43 (0.89–2.31)*, p=0.14 | NA | NA | 1.43 (0.93–2.19)*, p=0.11 | NA | 3.93±9.41 vs 5.1±8.58 |
Siau | 7.8 vs 4.9 | 12.2 vs 3.9 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 4 vs 5 |
Garg | 3.0 vs 4.2 | NA | NA | 54.8 vs 51.3 | 43.2 vs 51.3 | NA | NA | 4.6±0.02 vs 8.5±0.08 |
Sarin | <6 hr: 22.2 | NA | <6 hr: 12.5 | <6 hr: 81.9 | <6 hr: 52.8 | NA | <6 hr: 22.2 | <6 hr: 5.2±12 |
6–24 hr: 25.8 | 6–24 hr: 14.6 | 6–24 hr: 15.7 | 6–24 hr: 58.6 | 6–24 hr: 21.2 | 6–24 hr: 5.0±10.6 | |||
>24 hr: 9.9 | >24 hr: 5.2 | >24 hr: 75.9 | >24 hr: 22.4 | >24 hr: 8.6 | >24 hr: 4.3±11 | |||
Cooper | 3.7 vs 3.4 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 5.0 vs 6.4 |
Guo | <6 hr: 6.2 | NA | NA | NA | NA | <6 hr: 1.215 (1.107–1.334)†, p<0.001; | NA | <6 hr: 7.28±12.07 |
6–24 hr: 4.3 | 6–24 hr: 6.49±9.01 | |||||||
>24 hr: 5.8 | >24 hr: 1.040 (0.944–1.145)†, p=0.426 | >24 hr: 6.96±11.75 | ||||||
Horibe | 2.61 vs 7.83 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Whorwell | 11.1 vs 15.2 | NA | 29.6 vs 28.3 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 12.0±7.6 vs 12.0±6.6 |
ANVUGIB, acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding; AVUGIB, acute variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding; NA, not available.
*Odds ratio (95% confidence interval); †Hazard ratio (95% confidence interval).
Subgroup analysis of studies with very early endoscopy ranging from 3 to 12 hours was subsequently conducted. For observational cohort studies, the mortality rate was significantly higher in the very early endoscopy group within 12 hours (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.27 to 2.18; p<0.001; I2=0%) (Table 3).18,30,31 One study included patients with high bleeding risk who underwent endoscopy within 12 hours and no significant reduction in mortality rate was observed in the very early endoscopy group.18 For studies with time frames ranging from 6 to 8 hours, it also failed to show any superiority of very early endoscopy with respect to lower mortality either in high-risk patients (n=4; OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.34 to 1.60; p=0.44; I2=72%) or in patients at all bleeding risks (Table 3).14,16,17,33,43,44
Table 3 Subgroup Analysis for Outcomes Based on Different Cutoff Times for Endoscopy
Outcome assessed | No. of studies | Estimate | 95% CI | p-value | I2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endoscopy ≤12 hr vs >12 hr | |||||
Mortality | 3 | 1.66 | 1.27 to 2.18 | <0.001 | 0 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 2.36 | 1.93 to 2.88 | <0.001 | 0 |
Surgery | 3 | 3.24 | 2.35 to 4.47 | <0.001 | 0.17 |
Angiographic embolization | 2 | 2.16 | 0.49 to 9.46 | 0.310 | 0.71 |
Length of stay | 2 | –0.83 | –3.07 to 1.41 | 0.470 | 0.89 |
Primary hemostasis | 1 | 2.29 | 1.25 to 4.17 | 0.007 | NA |
Repeat endoscopy | 2 | 9.39 | 4.36 to 20.20 | <0.001 | 0 |
Blood transfusion | 3 | 1.81 | 1.48 to 2.22 | <0.001 | 0.13 |
Endoscopy ≤8 hr vs >8 hr | |||||
Mortality | 2 | 0.35 | 0.07 to 1.74 | 0.200 | 0 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 1.06 | 0.35 to 3.19 | 0.910 | 0 |
Surgery | 2 | 0.54 | 0.02 to 13.40 | 0.700 | NA |
Angiographic embolization | 2 | 1.15 | 0.33 to 4.00 | 0.830 | 0.27 |
Length of stay | 2 | –1.25 | –2.68 to 0.17 | 0.090 | 0 |
Primary hemostasis | 2 | 4.13 | 2.58 to 6.61 | <0.001 | 0 |
Repeat endoscopy | 2 | 1.11 | 0.24 to 5.09 | 0.890 | 0 |
Blood transfusion | 1 | 0.79 | 0.40 to 1.54 | 0.480 | NA |
Endoscopy ≤6 hr vs >6 hr | |||||
Mortality | 5 | 0.89 | 0.52 to 1.53 | 0.680 | 0.64 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 1.29 | 0.86 to 1.93 | 0.210 | 0 |
Surgery | 3 | 1.59 | 0.81 to 3.12 | 0.180 | 0 |
Angiographic embolization | 1 | 5.59 | 1.28 to 24.46 | 0.020 | NA |
Length of stay | 4 | 0.51 | –0.09 to 1.10 | 0.100 | 0 |
Primary hemostasis | 3 | 1.94 | 1.56 to 2.42 | <0.001 | 0 |
Repeat endoscopy | 3 | 1.22 | 1.11 to 1.33 | <0.001 | 0.31 |
Blood transfusion | 2 | 3.21 | 1.07 to 9.61 | 0.040 | 0.57 |
Endoscopy ≤3 hr vs >3 hr | |||||
Mortality | 1 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Recurrent bleeding | 1 | 0.86 | 0.25 to 2.95 | 0.820 | NA |
Angiographic embolization | 1 | 1.06 | 0.34 to 3.35 | 0.920 | NA |
Length of stay | 1 | 0.80 | –5.28 to 6.88 | 0.800 | NA |
Primary hemostasis | 1 | 3.67 | 1.42 to 9.50 | 0.007 | NA |
CI, confidence interval; NA, not available.
RCTs involving patients with ANVUGIB demonstrated no significant difference in mortality rates during time periods ranging from 2 to 12 hours, according to the pooled estimates (OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.55 to 1.72; p=0.92; I2=0%).15,26-28,45 There was no significant difference in mortality rates among individuals with high-risk UGIB in two RCTs (Fig. 3A).15,28
According to the pooled data of observational cohort studies, recurrent bleeding, need for surgery, angiographic embolization, repeat endoscopy, and blood transfusion had no significant difference among individuals who received early versus nonearly endoscopy (Figs 2B, 2C, 4A, 4C, 4D). In terms of the LOS, there was a significant difference between the early endoscopy and nonearly endoscopy groups (MD, −2.25; 95% CI, −3.42 to −1.08; p<0.001, I2=94%) (Fig. 4B). In the early endoscopy group, primary hemostasis was required more frequently than in the nonearly endoscopy group (OR, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.75 to 4.98; p<0.001, I2=96%) (Fig. 2D). Subgroup analysis of three observational cohort studies that included patient with high risk of bleeding demonstrated no significant difference in recurrent bleeding (OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.31; p=0.34; I2=0%), need for surgery need (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.33 to 5.21; p=0.70; I2=0%), repeat endoscopy (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.95 to 1.15; p=0.37; I2=0%) and LOS (MD, −0.18; 95% CI, −0.85 to 0.48; p=0.59; I2=0%).12,13,43 Primary hemostasis in patients with high bleeding risk was only assessed in one observational cohort study,13 which found that patients with early endoscopy were associated with a higher need for primary hemostasis.
Leave-one-out meta-analysis revealed that the heterogeneity of recurrent bleeding was lower after removing the study by Jairath
Subgroup analysis of studies with time frames shorter than 24-hour, such as 3, 6, 8, and 12 hours, was performed, and the results were described in Table 3. For observational cohort studies, endoscopic procedures within 12 hours were significantly associated with a higher rate of recurrent bleeding, higher need for surgery, and higher requirement for blood transfusion and repeat endoscopy (ps<0.05).18,30,31 LOS was not significantly changed, and primary hemostasis was required in more patients with early endoscopy ranging from 3 to 12 hours (Table 3). Repeat endoscopy and blood transfusion were required in more patients with ANVUGIB who underwent early endoscopy within 6 hours (Table 3).14,17,41,43,44 Only one study looked at people with a high risk of bleeding who had an early endoscopy within 12 hours,18 and no significant differences were found in any clinical parameters. Angiographic embolization and repeat endoscopy were assessed in one and two studies in patients with high risk of bleeding, respectively. It showed that angiographic embolization was more often necessary in patients who underwent very early endoscopy within 6 hours (OR, 5.59; 95% CI, 1.28 to 24.46; p=0.02). and repeat endoscopy (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.32; p<0.001; I2=43%).13,14,43 Pooled results of five RCTs failed to show a significant difference in outcomes.15,26-28,45 Two RCTs looked at patients with a high risk of bleeding, and a meta-analysis showed that patients who had a very early endoscopy within 6 to 12 hours were much more likely to have primary hemostasis (Fig. 3).15,28
For observational cohort studies including Western population with a time frame of 24-hour, pooled results demonstrated shorter LOS (MD, −1.96; 95% CI, −3.31 to −0.60; p=0.005; I2=100%), higher likelihood of requiring repeat endoscopy (OR, 6.96; 95% CI, 1.59 to 30.50; p=0.01; I2=73%) and blood transfusion (OR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.43 to 1.82; p<0.001; I2=67%). Two studies from the East were included.13,43 Only one study showed that endoscopy performed within 24 hours was related to a greater need for primary hemostasis (OR, 3.43; 95% CI, 1.54 to 7.63; p=0.003).13
For RCTs, pooled analysis of studies from populations either in the West or East did not reveal significant differences in mortality rates, need for surgery, or LOS (all p>0.05). The need for primary hemostasis was only reported in studies from the East, and pooled results demonstrated a significantly higher need for primary hemostasis (OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.12; p=0.01; I2=19%) in patients who underwent early endoscopy within 6 or 12 hours.15,28
It remained unclear whether patients or endoscopists were blinded to the timing of treatment in all included RCTs. However, there was a low risk of incomplete outcome data and other potential biases.
Five of the twenty observational studies had a potential for participant comparability and confounding characteristics that needed to be taken into consideration. They did not make any comparisons between the two groups’ baseline characteristics. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale yielded an average score of 7.4±1.0 stars (range 6 to 9 stars; the highest-quality studies are given 9 stars). Tables 4 and 5 detail the quality of these included studies. Statistical heterogeneity was observed in mortality, recurrent bleeding, surgery, LOS, primary hemostasis, blood transfusion,n and repeat endoscopy for ANVUGIB. Visual inspection of the funnel plot uncovered some asymmetry in the data (Supplementary Fig. 1).
Table 4 Assessment of the Methodological Quality (Cochrane Risk of Bias for Randomized Controlled Trials)
Author (year) | Sequence generation | Allocation concealment | Blinding of participants and personnel | Blinding of outcome assessors | Incomplete outcome data | Selective outcome reporting | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lau | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Lee | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Bjorkman | Low | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Low |
Lin | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Whorwell | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Low |
Table 5 Assessment of the Methodological Quality (Newcastle-Ottawa for Observational Studies)
Author (year) | Selection | Comparability | Outcome | Total | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | C | O1 | O2 | O3 | ||||
Cooper | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Wierzchowski | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Chak | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Kim | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Cho | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Tai | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Targownik | - | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 6 | ||
Kumar | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Iqbal | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | - | 7 | ||
Jairath | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Saleem | * | * | * | - | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Schacher | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Ahn | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
El-Dallal | - | - | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Siau | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Garg | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Sarin | * | * | * | - | - | * | * | * | 6 | ||
Cooper | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | - | 6 | ||
Guo | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Horibe | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | - | 6 |
A study can receive up to four stars for Selection (S1=representativeness of the exposed cohort, S2=selection of the nonexposed cohort, S3=ascertainment of exposure, and S4=demonstration that the outcome of interest was not present at the start of the study), two stars for Comparability (C=comparability of cohorts based on design or analysis), and three stars for Outcome (O1=assessment of outcome, O2=follow-up enough for outcomes to occur, O3=adequacy of follow-up of cohorts).
This was the most comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis yet performed examining the outcomes of early endoscopy in patients diagnosed with ANVUGIB. We found that: (1) early endoscopy performed within 24 hours did not lead to a lower mortality rate. Patients who received endoscopy within 24 hours had a higher rate of primary hemostasis and shorter LOS; (2) patients at high risk of bleeding who received very early endoscopy ranging from 3 to 12 hours were more likely to undergo primary hemostasis, and (3) discrepancies exist between studies from populations in the East and West.
In this review, early endoscopy performed within 24 hours had no obvious clinical benefit except for the reduction of LOS among patients with ANVUGIB. Furthermore, the mortality rate was found to be higher in very early endoscopy within 12 hours. These findings were based on the investigation of the overall population without regard to the bleeding risk. Since recently, there has been rising attention on the question of whether early endoscopy is necessary when it comes to high-risk bleeding patients. According to our subgroup analysis, there was no significant difference in mortality if high-risk individuals received endoscopy within 24 hours or shorter timeframes (3 to 12 hours).12-14,16-18,33,43,44 What’s more, Lau
Clinical outcomes in early endoscopy within 24 hours remained inconsistent between East and West populations. Only one study from the East with a 24-hour timeframe was included, and it found that early endoscopy was associated with a significantly higher rate of primary hemostasis.13 However, pooled results of studies from Western populations failed to show any significant difference in primary hemostasis. We postulated that the difference could be explained by both patient- and endoscopist-related factors. On one hand, the increased risk of
We gathered all the information we could find by contacting research authors and sorting trials rigorously by study design (observational cohort studies and RCTs) and bleeding risks. A variety of time frames for endoscopy were retrieved, and a subgroup analysis was conducted to investigate shorter time frames ranging from 3 to 12 hours separately from endoscopy conducted within 24 hours. Finally, we compared the clinical outcomes in the East and West.
However, there are several limitations to this review. First, most of the studies considered in this review had an observational cohort design. Several secondary outcomes exhibited high heterogeneity, which we speculated may be due to differences in the population’s bleeding risk. A subgroup analysis of patients with a high bleeding risk was used to try to account for this. Second, the publication time of included studies was spread out across a period of more than two decades. Since then, endoscopic instruments have advanced and guidelines have been updated. We conducted subgroup analyses for each outcome by eliminating the results from the oldest observational cohort study and the RCT. Except for primary hemostasis in observational cohort studies by eliminating a study by Cooper
In conclusion, early endoscopy within 24 hours does not appear to significantly reduce the mortality rates of patients with ANVUGIB. It is warranted to explore if very early endoscopy within 12 hours can provide clinical benefit for patients at high risk of bleeding.
Supplementary materials can be accessed at https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl220291.
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
Study concept and design: L.B., W.J. Data acquisition: L.B., W.J. Data analysis and interpretation: L.B., W.J., R.C., Y.D., L.M. Drafting of the manuscript: L.B., W.J. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: S.Z. Statistical analysis: L.B. study supervision: S.Z. Approval of final manuscript: all authors.
Gut and Liver 2023; 17(4): 566-580
Published online July 15, 2023 https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl220291
Copyright © Gut and Liver.
Liyi Bai , Wei Jiang , Rui Cheng , Yan Dang , Li Min , Shutian Zhang
Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Key Laboratory for Precancerous Lesion of Digestive Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Digestive Diseases, and Beijing Digestive Disease Center, Beijing, China
Correspondence to:Shutian Zhang
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2356-4397
E-mail zhangshutian@ccmu.edu.cn
Liyi Bai and Wei Jiang contributed equally to this work as first authors.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Background/Aims: In patients with acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB), the optimal timing of endoscopy is still a matter of dispute. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the clinical benefit of early endoscopy.
Methods: A literature search of the MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane databases was conducted to identify publications from inception to March 1, 2022. Eligible studies included observational cohort studies and randomized controlled trials that reported clinical outcomes of endoscopy in patients with ANVUGIB. ANVUGIB patients who underwent endoscopy within 24 hours of admission were considered to have had an early endoscopy. The primary outcome was the mortality rate in ANVUGIB patients who had early or nonearly endoscopy.
Results: The final analysis included five randomized controlled studies (RCTs) and 20 observational studies from the 1,206 identified articles. The mortality rate was not significantly reduced among patients who received endoscopy performed within 24 hours, whether in cohort studies nor in RCTs. For subgroup analysis, a higher mortality rate was found only among patients who received very early endoscopy within 12 hours (odds ratio, 1.66; p<0.001, I2=0) in cohort studies. No significant difference in mortality rates was found among patients at high risk of bleeding who received early versus nonearly endoscopy.
Conclusions: Early endoscopy within 24 hours does not appear to significantly reduce the mortality rates of patients with ANVUGIB. Further well-designed studies are warranted to address if very early endoscopy within 12 hours can provide a clinical benefit for patients at high risk of bleeding.
Keywords: Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal hemorrhage, Severity of illness index, Mortality, Meta-analysis
Acute gastrointestinal bleeding is a common but serious medical emergency in clinical practice. It imposes a massive burden on global healthcare use each year and has a negative impact on patient survival.1-3 Endoscopy is the gold standard for investigating the bleeding source and providing a direct view for therapeutic interventions. It was reported that approximately 90% of culprit lesion locations can be found under endoscopy in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB).4 Furthermore, performance of endoscopic interventions dramatically reduced the risks of recurrent bleeding, need for surgery, and mortality.5-7 In spite of numerous studies showing the efficiency of endoscopy for UGIB, one of the most crucial considerations in the entire procedure, the optimal timing of endoscopy performance remains unconfirmed.
In the management of UGIB, it is widely accepted that endoscopy should be performed within 24 hours of admission.8,9 However, there is a scarcity of data to back up this recommendation, and the majority of studies that did assess the clinical benefits of endoscopy within 24 hours were of poor quality.10-13 Another question that remains unanswered is whether endoscopy conducted within a shorter time frame such as 6 to 8 hours can improve the prognosis of patients who are at high risk of bleeding (e.g. Glasgow-Blatchford score, Rockall score, or hemodynamic parameters).14-18 According to the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy in 2021, the risk of procedure-related adverse events is higher in patients who undergo early or emergent endoscopy (within 12 hours or 6 hours).19 However, the Asia-Pacific Working Group accepted that in patients with hemodynamic shock or instability, early endoscopy performed within 12 hours after admission, may provide benefits to patients after initial resuscitation and stabilization.20 What is more, the American College of Gastroenterology has recently recommended both low- and high-risk patients should undergo endoscopy within 24 hours for economic effectiveness and clinical benefit.21
There have been a few systematic reviews and meta-analyses to look at these unsolved questions based on the present contradicting data. One review found that early endoscopy was safe and helpful in patients with acute UGIB, while others showed that it did not enhance clinical outcomes such as recurrent bleeding, mortality, or length of stay (LOS).22-25 Furthermore, four recent randomized controlled studies (RCTs) with varied definitions of time have also yielded conflicting findings. Only one study by Lee
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020 guidelines were followed in the conduct of this review.34 We used MEDLINE (OvidSP), Embase (OvidSP), and the Cochrane bibliographic database to look for papers published between January 1, 1980, and March 1, 2022. The search strategy was devised with the help of a medical librarian and was detailed in the Supplementary Material.
Two independent reviewers (B.L.Y. and J.W.) initially screened all publications by title and abstract. Observational cohort studies and randomized controlled trials reporting on the clinical outcomes of individuals with acute UGIB hospitalized for endoscopic assessment were included in this review. Studies were ineligible for consideration if they: (1) were case reports, reviews, re-analyses of public datasets, or conference abstracts; (2) did not compare the outcomes between early and nonearly arms; (3) only focused on variceal gastrointestinal bleeding; (4) were an irrelevant study on current clinical practice; (5) had a vague definition of the time frame for early endoscopy; and (6) were not reported in English. RCTs and observational cohort studies were pooled and analyzed separately. The data collected included the following: study and patient characteristics (e.g., first author, year of publication, study design, site/country, risk of bleeding, number of patients who underwent early endoscopy or nonearly endoscopy, time frame for early endoscopy) and outcomes. The data were rechecked if there was a discrepancy.
Early endoscopy was defined as a patient with acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB) who underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy within 24 hours after admission. Procedures performed after 24 hours were regarded as nonearly endoscopy which served as the comparator. We defined those procedures which were performed with shorter time frames ranging from 3 to 12 hours as very early endoscopy. A subgroup analysis was subsequently performed on studies that assessed the clinical outcomes of very early endoscopy. The bleeding risk was evaluated based on: (1) symptoms of overt UGIB (witnessed hematemesis, bloody nasogastric aspirate, or hematochezia) or hemodynamic instability (systolic blood pressure <100 mm Hg or heart rate >100 beats/min); (2) abnormal laboratory indices (hemoglobin <12 g/dL and urea >6.5 mmol/L); (3) risk factors such as age >60 years, ischemic heart disease, liver disease, cardiac failure, and metastatic malignancy, and (4) have high-risk stigmata on endoscopy (spurting, gushing, oozing bleeding, or non-bleeding visible vessel). Patients who met at least one of the standards above were regarded as high-risk bleeding populations.
The primary outcome was the odds ratio for mortality in the included population. Secondary outcomes included recurrent bleeding, surgery, primary hemostasis, angiographic embolization, LOS, need for repeat endoscopy, and requirement for blood transfusion. We performed a subgroup analysis to investigate the difference in clinical outcomes between Eastern and Western populations. The East included South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan while the West included the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Switzerland, and Poland, as determined by included studies.
The quality of observational cohort studies was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.35 There are three domains in the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (maximum 9 stars): selection (representativeness of cases, selection of controls, ascertainment of exposure, and demonstration that the outcome of interest was not existent at the beginning of the study); comparability (comparability of cohorts based on the design or analysis); and outcome (evaluation of outcome, length of follow-up necessary for outcomes to occur, appropriateness of follow-up of cohorts). The risk of bias assessment developed by the Cochrane group was used to evaluate RCT.36 The tool consists of seven domains, which are sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding of participants and personnel, blinding of outcome assessors, incomplete outcome data, selective outcome reporting, and other biases. Any disagreement was solved by consensus.
RevMan 5.4 software was used to conduct all statistical analyses in accordance with the Cochrane Collaboration methods. Data from observational cohort studies and RCTs were pooled for meta-analysis. Subgroup analysis was performed in terms of timing and patient population.
Continuous variables are provided as means and standard deviations (SD), whereas categorical variables are expressed as percentages. Online calculators were used to determine the sample mean and SD for studies that only provided the median and interquartile range.37 The largest SD from other research was utilized for studies that did not publish their SD and for which the authors did not respond. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were used to compare dichotomous outcomes. Mean differences (MDs) were handled as continuous variables using the inverse variance approach. I2 statistics were used to evaluate heterogeneity. When there was no statistically significant heterogeneity among studies (I2<50%, p>0.1), a fixed-effects model (Mantel-Haenszel method) was used to calculate the pooled estimates, otherwise a random effects model (DerSimonian and Laird method) was used. If the p-value was less than 0.05, it was thought to be statistically significant. The Mantel-Haenszel method with a fixed-effects model was used to conduct sensitivity studies when statistical heterogeneity was found. Patient populations, sample sizes, study designs, intervention types, and outcome definitions from various studies were all examined for any possible clinical heterogeneity. If at least 10 citations were found, publication bias was assessed using funnel plots for all comparisons.
We found a total of 1,206 papers by searching databases, and 1,114 of those were discarded because of issues with the abstract, title, duplication, or the lack of full-text availability. The full texts of 92 papers were assessed afterward, and a further 67 publications were excluded (Fig. 1). Twenty-five studies (five RCTs and 20 observational cohort studies) were included in the meta-analysis (Table 1). For a timing cutoff of 24 hours, 13 observational cohort studies compared outcome parameters in patients with ANVUGIB.10-13,29-31,38-43 Seven observational cohort studies14,16-18,33,43,44 and two RCTs15,28 included patients at high risk of bleeding, with time frames ranging from 6 to 12 hours.
Table 1 . Details and Characteristics of the Included Studies.
Author (year) | Types of study | Country | Study population | High-risk bleeding* | Time frames for early endoscopy (1) | Time frames for early endoscopy (2) | Sample size (early) | Sample size (non-early) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 1,854 | 738 | |
Wierzchowski | Retrospective cohort study | Poland | UGIB | NA | 24 | 295 | 187 | |
Chak | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | High-risk | 24 | 166 | 36 | |
Kim | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 24 | 187 | 66 | |
Cho | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 571 | 390 | |
Lau | Randomized controlled trial | Hong Kong | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 258 | 258 | |
Tai | Retrospective cohort study | Taiwan | UGIB | High-risk | 8 | 88 | 101 | |
Targownik | Retrospective cohort study | Canada | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 77 | 92 | |
Kumar | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | High-risk | 12 | Total (n=89), high-risk (n=41) | Total (n=272), high-risk (n=80) | |
Lee | Randomized controlled trial | USA | UGIB | NA | 2 | 56 | 54 | |
Bjorkman | Randomized controlled trial | USA | UGIB | NA | 6 | 47 | 46 | |
Lin | Randomized controlled trial | Taiwan | UGIB | High-risk | 12 | Total (n=162), high-risk (n=53) | Total (n=163), high-risk (n=54) | |
Iqbal | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 33 | 146 | |
Jairath | Prospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 12 | 24 | <12 hr (n=834), 12-24 hr (n=1,190) | >24 hr (n=2,158) |
Saleem | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 12 | 24 | <12 hr (n=61), 12–24 hr (n=94) | >24 hr (n=96) |
Schacher | Retrospective cohort study | Switzerland | UGIB | NA | 3 | 43 | 38 | |
Ahn | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 8 | Total (n=60), high-risk (n=18) | Total (n=98), high-risk (n=36) | |
El-Dallal | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 24,830 | 96,005 | |
Siau | Retrospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 24 | 205 | 143 | |
Garg | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 870,159 | 631,412 | |
Sarin | Retrospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 6 | 24 | <6 hr (n=72), 6–24 hr (n=198) | >24 hr (n=232) |
Cooper | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 583 | 326 | |
Guo | Retrospective cohort study | Hong Kong | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 24 | <6 hr (n=1,008), 6–24 hr (n=3,865) | >24 hr (n=1,601) |
Horibe | Retrospective cohort study | Japan | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 115 | 115 | |
Whorwell | Randomized controlled trial | UK | UGIB | NA | 6 | 54 | 46 |
UGIB, upper gastrointestinal bleeding; NA, not available..
*The risk of bleeding was evaluated and confirmed based on (1) symptoms of overt UGIB (witnessed hematemesis, bloody nasogastric aspirate, or hematochezia) or hemodynamic instability (systolic blood pressure <100 mm Hg or heart rate >100 beats/min); (2) abnormal laboratory indices (hemoglobin <12 g/dL and urea >6.5 mmol/L); (3) risk factors including age >60 years, ischemic heart disease, liver disease, cardiac failure, and metastatic malignancy and (4) have high-risk stigmata on endoscopy. Patients with at least one of the standards above were regarded as high-risk bleeding populations and included in the subgroup analysis..
The principal results in the included studies were shown in Table 2. The meta-analysis of 13 observational cohort studies found no significant difference in mortality rates when endoscopy was performed within 24 hours of admission compared to that performed after 24 hours (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.54; p=0.44; I2=96%) (Fig. 2A).10-13,28-31,38-43 Three observational cohort studies of patients at high-risk of bleeding reported outcomes within 24 hours and it demonstrated no significant difference in mortality rates between early and nonearly endoscopy arms (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.69 to 1.09; p=0.21, I2=26%).12,13,43
Table 2 . Principal Results of the Included Studies (Early vs Non-Early).
Author (year) | Mortality, % | Recurrent bleeding, % | Surgery, % | Blood transfusion, % | Primary hemostasis, % | Angiographic embolization, % | Repeat endoscopy, % | Length of stay, mean±SD, day |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper | 6.2 vs 7.3 | NA | 1.2 vs 3.4 | NA | 31.8 vs 32.9 | NA | NA | 4.78±2.75 vs 7.19±4.74 |
Wierzchowski | 6.78 vs 9.09 | 12.2 vs 18.2 | 2.37 vs 6.42 | NA | 88.5 vs 40.1 | NA | NA | 4.3±11.91 vs 4.79±27.22 |
Chak | 4.2 vs 5.6 | 16.9 vs 19.4 | 6.0 vs 5.6 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 6.31±3.8 vs 7±2.97 |
Kim | 46.5 vs 39.4 | 20.3 vs 25.6 | 1.6 vs 0 | NA | 32.1 vs 12.1 | 14.4 vs 15.2 | 20.3 vs 15.2 | 52.0±48.3 vs 57.4±58.8 |
Cho | 1.6 vs 3.8 | 11.4 vs 9.0 | 1.1 vs 0 | NA | 69.5 vs 53.3 | 2.8 vs 0.5 | NA | 6.7±7.8 vs 6.4±7.5 |
Lau | ANVUGIB: 7.3 vs 6.3 | ANVUGIB: 9.9 vs 6.7 | ANVUGIB: 0.96 vs 0 | ANVUGIB: 90.6 vs 91.6 | ANVUGIB: 57.9 vs 45.2 | ANVUGIB: 0.86 vs 0.84 | NA | ANVUGIB: 7.64±7.63 vs 6.81±6.61 |
AVUGIB: 24.0 vs 10.5 | AVUGIB: 16.0 vs 15.8 | AVUGIB: 0 vs 5.3 | AVUGIB: 80.0 vs 78.9 | AVUGIB: 80.0 vs 89.5 | AVUGIB: 4.0 vs 0 | AVUGIB: 8.88±7.60 vs 7.95±4.14 | ||
Tai | 1 vs 6 | 7 vs 10 | 0 vs 0 | 74 vs 78 | 95 vs 95 | 2 (2) vs 4 (4), p=0.687 | 33 vs 50 | 5.1±5 vs 6.0±7.7 |
Targownik | 8 vs 6 | 9 vs 8 | 8 vs 2 | NA | 53 vs 37 | NA | 10 v s 15 | 4±15.16 vs 4±12.76 |
Kumar | Total: 4 vs 1, high-risk: 5 vs 1 | Total: 11 vs 4, high-risk: 12 vs 6 | Total: 4 vs 0, high-risk: 2 vs 0 | Total: 85 vs 75, high-risk: 98 vs 99 | NA | Total: 6 vs 1, high-risk: 7 vs 2 | Total: 10 vs 1, high-risk: 7 vs 2 | Total: 4.3±4.2 vs 4.0±4.0, high-risk: NA |
Lee | 0 vs 3.7 | 3.6 vs 5.6 | 3.6 vs 1.9 | NA | NA | NA | 7.1 vs 7.4 | 2.35±3.6 vs 2.43±0.86 |
Bjorkman | 0 vs 0 | NA | 2.1 vs 2.2 | 40.4 vs 32.6 | NA | 0 vs 0 | 8.5 vs 2.2 | 3.98±3.89 vs 3.26±3.17 |
Lin | 3.8 vs 1.8 | 5.7 vs 9.2 | 5.7 vs 7.4 | NA | 43.4 vs 42.6 | NA | NA | 4.7±4.4 vs 4.2±6 |
Iqbal | 6.8 vs 6.1 | 8.3 vs 12.1 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 6.1±11.91 vs 6.0±27.22 |
Jairath | <12 hr: 9.0 | <12 hr: 19.7 | 7.6 vs 3.3 vs 2.2 | <12 hr: 49.2 | NA | NA | NA | <12 hr: 11.46±15.16 |
12–24 hr: 6.3 | 12–24 hr: 10.9 | 12–24 hr: 37.1 | 12–24 hr: 8.04±8.96 | |||||
>24 hr: 5.4 | >24 hr: 8.8 | >24 hr: 31.7 | >24 hr: 15.37±27.22 | |||||
Saleem | <12 hr: 1.64 | NA | <12 hr: 3.28 | <12 hr: 54.10 | <12 hr: 35.71 | <12 hr: 4.92 | <12 hr: 26.23 | NA |
12–24 hr: 1.06 | 12–24 hr: 2.13 | 12–24 hr: 48.94 | 12–24 hr: 33.33; | 12–24 hr: 2.13 | 12–24 hr: 4.26 | |||
>24 hr: 1.04 | >24 hr:1.04 | >24 hr:50.0 | >24 hr:77.78 | >24 hr:1.04 | >24 hr:2.08 | |||
Schacher | 0 vs 0 | 14 vs 16 | 9.3 vs 7.9 | NA | 76.7 vs 47.4 | NA | NA | 5.9±15.16 vs 5.1±12.76 |
Ahn | Total: 1.7 vs 2.0, high-risk: 0 vs 5.6 | Total: 6.7 vs 5.1, high-risk: 11.1 vs 13.9 | Total: 0 vs 1.0, high-risk: 0 vs 2.8 | NA | Total: 71.1 vs 35.7, high-risk:61.1 vs 41.7 | Total: 5 vs 2.0, high-risk:11.1 vs 2.8 | Total: 3.3 vs 3.1, high-risk:5.6 vs 8.3 | Total: 7.3±5.2 vs 9.1±9.4, high-risk: 7.7±5.3 vs 12.0±9.9 |
El-Dallal | 2.5 vs 1.8 | NA | 1.43 (0.89–2.31)*, p=0.14 | NA | NA | 1.43 (0.93–2.19)*, p=0.11 | NA | 3.93±9.41 vs 5.1±8.58 |
Siau | 7.8 vs 4.9 | 12.2 vs 3.9 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 4 vs 5 |
Garg | 3.0 vs 4.2 | NA | NA | 54.8 vs 51.3 | 43.2 vs 51.3 | NA | NA | 4.6±0.02 vs 8.5±0.08 |
Sarin | <6 hr: 22.2 | NA | <6 hr: 12.5 | <6 hr: 81.9 | <6 hr: 52.8 | NA | <6 hr: 22.2 | <6 hr: 5.2±12 |
6–24 hr: 25.8 | 6–24 hr: 14.6 | 6–24 hr: 15.7 | 6–24 hr: 58.6 | 6–24 hr: 21.2 | 6–24 hr: 5.0±10.6 | |||
>24 hr: 9.9 | >24 hr: 5.2 | >24 hr: 75.9 | >24 hr: 22.4 | >24 hr: 8.6 | >24 hr: 4.3±11 | |||
Cooper | 3.7 vs 3.4 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 5.0 vs 6.4 |
Guo | <6 hr: 6.2 | NA | NA | NA | NA | <6 hr: 1.215 (1.107–1.334)†, p<0.001; | NA | <6 hr: 7.28±12.07 |
6–24 hr: 4.3 | 6–24 hr: 6.49±9.01 | |||||||
>24 hr: 5.8 | >24 hr: 1.040 (0.944–1.145)†, p=0.426 | >24 hr: 6.96±11.75 | ||||||
Horibe | 2.61 vs 7.83 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Whorwell | 11.1 vs 15.2 | NA | 29.6 vs 28.3 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 12.0±7.6 vs 12.0±6.6 |
ANVUGIB, acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding; AVUGIB, acute variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding; NA, not available..
*Odds ratio (95% confidence interval); †Hazard ratio (95% confidence interval)..
Subgroup analysis of studies with very early endoscopy ranging from 3 to 12 hours was subsequently conducted. For observational cohort studies, the mortality rate was significantly higher in the very early endoscopy group within 12 hours (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.27 to 2.18; p<0.001; I2=0%) (Table 3).18,30,31 One study included patients with high bleeding risk who underwent endoscopy within 12 hours and no significant reduction in mortality rate was observed in the very early endoscopy group.18 For studies with time frames ranging from 6 to 8 hours, it also failed to show any superiority of very early endoscopy with respect to lower mortality either in high-risk patients (n=4; OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.34 to 1.60; p=0.44; I2=72%) or in patients at all bleeding risks (Table 3).14,16,17,33,43,44
Table 3 . Subgroup Analysis for Outcomes Based on Different Cutoff Times for Endoscopy.
Outcome assessed | No. of studies | Estimate | 95% CI | p-value | I2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endoscopy ≤12 hr vs >12 hr | |||||
Mortality | 3 | 1.66 | 1.27 to 2.18 | <0.001 | 0 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 2.36 | 1.93 to 2.88 | <0.001 | 0 |
Surgery | 3 | 3.24 | 2.35 to 4.47 | <0.001 | 0.17 |
Angiographic embolization | 2 | 2.16 | 0.49 to 9.46 | 0.310 | 0.71 |
Length of stay | 2 | –0.83 | –3.07 to 1.41 | 0.470 | 0.89 |
Primary hemostasis | 1 | 2.29 | 1.25 to 4.17 | 0.007 | NA |
Repeat endoscopy | 2 | 9.39 | 4.36 to 20.20 | <0.001 | 0 |
Blood transfusion | 3 | 1.81 | 1.48 to 2.22 | <0.001 | 0.13 |
Endoscopy ≤8 hr vs >8 hr | |||||
Mortality | 2 | 0.35 | 0.07 to 1.74 | 0.200 | 0 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 1.06 | 0.35 to 3.19 | 0.910 | 0 |
Surgery | 2 | 0.54 | 0.02 to 13.40 | 0.700 | NA |
Angiographic embolization | 2 | 1.15 | 0.33 to 4.00 | 0.830 | 0.27 |
Length of stay | 2 | –1.25 | –2.68 to 0.17 | 0.090 | 0 |
Primary hemostasis | 2 | 4.13 | 2.58 to 6.61 | <0.001 | 0 |
Repeat endoscopy | 2 | 1.11 | 0.24 to 5.09 | 0.890 | 0 |
Blood transfusion | 1 | 0.79 | 0.40 to 1.54 | 0.480 | NA |
Endoscopy ≤6 hr vs >6 hr | |||||
Mortality | 5 | 0.89 | 0.52 to 1.53 | 0.680 | 0.64 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 1.29 | 0.86 to 1.93 | 0.210 | 0 |
Surgery | 3 | 1.59 | 0.81 to 3.12 | 0.180 | 0 |
Angiographic embolization | 1 | 5.59 | 1.28 to 24.46 | 0.020 | NA |
Length of stay | 4 | 0.51 | –0.09 to 1.10 | 0.100 | 0 |
Primary hemostasis | 3 | 1.94 | 1.56 to 2.42 | <0.001 | 0 |
Repeat endoscopy | 3 | 1.22 | 1.11 to 1.33 | <0.001 | 0.31 |
Blood transfusion | 2 | 3.21 | 1.07 to 9.61 | 0.040 | 0.57 |
Endoscopy ≤3 hr vs >3 hr | |||||
Mortality | 1 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Recurrent bleeding | 1 | 0.86 | 0.25 to 2.95 | 0.820 | NA |
Angiographic embolization | 1 | 1.06 | 0.34 to 3.35 | 0.920 | NA |
Length of stay | 1 | 0.80 | –5.28 to 6.88 | 0.800 | NA |
Primary hemostasis | 1 | 3.67 | 1.42 to 9.50 | 0.007 | NA |
CI, confidence interval; NA, not available..
RCTs involving patients with ANVUGIB demonstrated no significant difference in mortality rates during time periods ranging from 2 to 12 hours, according to the pooled estimates (OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.55 to 1.72; p=0.92; I2=0%).15,26-28,45 There was no significant difference in mortality rates among individuals with high-risk UGIB in two RCTs (Fig. 3A).15,28
According to the pooled data of observational cohort studies, recurrent bleeding, need for surgery, angiographic embolization, repeat endoscopy, and blood transfusion had no significant difference among individuals who received early versus nonearly endoscopy (Figs 2B, 2C, 4A, 4C, 4D). In terms of the LOS, there was a significant difference between the early endoscopy and nonearly endoscopy groups (MD, −2.25; 95% CI, −3.42 to −1.08; p<0.001, I2=94%) (Fig. 4B). In the early endoscopy group, primary hemostasis was required more frequently than in the nonearly endoscopy group (OR, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.75 to 4.98; p<0.001, I2=96%) (Fig. 2D). Subgroup analysis of three observational cohort studies that included patient with high risk of bleeding demonstrated no significant difference in recurrent bleeding (OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.31; p=0.34; I2=0%), need for surgery need (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.33 to 5.21; p=0.70; I2=0%), repeat endoscopy (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.95 to 1.15; p=0.37; I2=0%) and LOS (MD, −0.18; 95% CI, −0.85 to 0.48; p=0.59; I2=0%).12,13,43 Primary hemostasis in patients with high bleeding risk was only assessed in one observational cohort study,13 which found that patients with early endoscopy were associated with a higher need for primary hemostasis.
Leave-one-out meta-analysis revealed that the heterogeneity of recurrent bleeding was lower after removing the study by Jairath
Subgroup analysis of studies with time frames shorter than 24-hour, such as 3, 6, 8, and 12 hours, was performed, and the results were described in Table 3. For observational cohort studies, endoscopic procedures within 12 hours were significantly associated with a higher rate of recurrent bleeding, higher need for surgery, and higher requirement for blood transfusion and repeat endoscopy (ps<0.05).18,30,31 LOS was not significantly changed, and primary hemostasis was required in more patients with early endoscopy ranging from 3 to 12 hours (Table 3). Repeat endoscopy and blood transfusion were required in more patients with ANVUGIB who underwent early endoscopy within 6 hours (Table 3).14,17,41,43,44 Only one study looked at people with a high risk of bleeding who had an early endoscopy within 12 hours,18 and no significant differences were found in any clinical parameters. Angiographic embolization and repeat endoscopy were assessed in one and two studies in patients with high risk of bleeding, respectively. It showed that angiographic embolization was more often necessary in patients who underwent very early endoscopy within 6 hours (OR, 5.59; 95% CI, 1.28 to 24.46; p=0.02). and repeat endoscopy (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.32; p<0.001; I2=43%).13,14,43 Pooled results of five RCTs failed to show a significant difference in outcomes.15,26-28,45 Two RCTs looked at patients with a high risk of bleeding, and a meta-analysis showed that patients who had a very early endoscopy within 6 to 12 hours were much more likely to have primary hemostasis (Fig. 3).15,28
For observational cohort studies including Western population with a time frame of 24-hour, pooled results demonstrated shorter LOS (MD, −1.96; 95% CI, −3.31 to −0.60; p=0.005; I2=100%), higher likelihood of requiring repeat endoscopy (OR, 6.96; 95% CI, 1.59 to 30.50; p=0.01; I2=73%) and blood transfusion (OR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.43 to 1.82; p<0.001; I2=67%). Two studies from the East were included.13,43 Only one study showed that endoscopy performed within 24 hours was related to a greater need for primary hemostasis (OR, 3.43; 95% CI, 1.54 to 7.63; p=0.003).13
For RCTs, pooled analysis of studies from populations either in the West or East did not reveal significant differences in mortality rates, need for surgery, or LOS (all p>0.05). The need for primary hemostasis was only reported in studies from the East, and pooled results demonstrated a significantly higher need for primary hemostasis (OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.12; p=0.01; I2=19%) in patients who underwent early endoscopy within 6 or 12 hours.15,28
It remained unclear whether patients or endoscopists were blinded to the timing of treatment in all included RCTs. However, there was a low risk of incomplete outcome data and other potential biases.
Five of the twenty observational studies had a potential for participant comparability and confounding characteristics that needed to be taken into consideration. They did not make any comparisons between the two groups’ baseline characteristics. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale yielded an average score of 7.4±1.0 stars (range 6 to 9 stars; the highest-quality studies are given 9 stars). Tables 4 and 5 detail the quality of these included studies. Statistical heterogeneity was observed in mortality, recurrent bleeding, surgery, LOS, primary hemostasis, blood transfusion,n and repeat endoscopy for ANVUGIB. Visual inspection of the funnel plot uncovered some asymmetry in the data (Supplementary Fig. 1).
Table 4 . Assessment of the Methodological Quality (Cochrane Risk of Bias for Randomized Controlled Trials).
Author (year) | Sequence generation | Allocation concealment | Blinding of participants and personnel | Blinding of outcome assessors | Incomplete outcome data | Selective outcome reporting | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lau | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Lee | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Bjorkman | Low | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Low |
Lin | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Whorwell | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Low |
Table 5 . Assessment of the Methodological Quality (Newcastle-Ottawa for Observational Studies).
Author (year) | Selection | Comparability | Outcome | Total | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | C | O1 | O2 | O3 | ||||
Cooper | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Wierzchowski | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Chak | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Kim | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Cho | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Tai | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Targownik | - | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 6 | ||
Kumar | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Iqbal | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | - | 7 | ||
Jairath | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Saleem | * | * | * | - | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Schacher | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Ahn | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
El-Dallal | - | - | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Siau | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Garg | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Sarin | * | * | * | - | - | * | * | * | 6 | ||
Cooper | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | - | 6 | ||
Guo | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Horibe | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | - | 6 |
A study can receive up to four stars for Selection (S1=representativeness of the exposed cohort, S2=selection of the nonexposed cohort, S3=ascertainment of exposure, and S4=demonstration that the outcome of interest was not present at the start of the study), two stars for Comparability (C=comparability of cohorts based on design or analysis), and three stars for Outcome (O1=assessment of outcome, O2=follow-up enough for outcomes to occur, O3=adequacy of follow-up of cohorts)..
This was the most comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis yet performed examining the outcomes of early endoscopy in patients diagnosed with ANVUGIB. We found that: (1) early endoscopy performed within 24 hours did not lead to a lower mortality rate. Patients who received endoscopy within 24 hours had a higher rate of primary hemostasis and shorter LOS; (2) patients at high risk of bleeding who received very early endoscopy ranging from 3 to 12 hours were more likely to undergo primary hemostasis, and (3) discrepancies exist between studies from populations in the East and West.
In this review, early endoscopy performed within 24 hours had no obvious clinical benefit except for the reduction of LOS among patients with ANVUGIB. Furthermore, the mortality rate was found to be higher in very early endoscopy within 12 hours. These findings were based on the investigation of the overall population without regard to the bleeding risk. Since recently, there has been rising attention on the question of whether early endoscopy is necessary when it comes to high-risk bleeding patients. According to our subgroup analysis, there was no significant difference in mortality if high-risk individuals received endoscopy within 24 hours or shorter timeframes (3 to 12 hours).12-14,16-18,33,43,44 What’s more, Lau
Clinical outcomes in early endoscopy within 24 hours remained inconsistent between East and West populations. Only one study from the East with a 24-hour timeframe was included, and it found that early endoscopy was associated with a significantly higher rate of primary hemostasis.13 However, pooled results of studies from Western populations failed to show any significant difference in primary hemostasis. We postulated that the difference could be explained by both patient- and endoscopist-related factors. On one hand, the increased risk of
We gathered all the information we could find by contacting research authors and sorting trials rigorously by study design (observational cohort studies and RCTs) and bleeding risks. A variety of time frames for endoscopy were retrieved, and a subgroup analysis was conducted to investigate shorter time frames ranging from 3 to 12 hours separately from endoscopy conducted within 24 hours. Finally, we compared the clinical outcomes in the East and West.
However, there are several limitations to this review. First, most of the studies considered in this review had an observational cohort design. Several secondary outcomes exhibited high heterogeneity, which we speculated may be due to differences in the population’s bleeding risk. A subgroup analysis of patients with a high bleeding risk was used to try to account for this. Second, the publication time of included studies was spread out across a period of more than two decades. Since then, endoscopic instruments have advanced and guidelines have been updated. We conducted subgroup analyses for each outcome by eliminating the results from the oldest observational cohort study and the RCT. Except for primary hemostasis in observational cohort studies by eliminating a study by Cooper
In conclusion, early endoscopy within 24 hours does not appear to significantly reduce the mortality rates of patients with ANVUGIB. It is warranted to explore if very early endoscopy within 12 hours can provide clinical benefit for patients at high risk of bleeding.
Supplementary materials can be accessed at https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl220291.
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
Study concept and design: L.B., W.J. Data acquisition: L.B., W.J. Data analysis and interpretation: L.B., W.J., R.C., Y.D., L.M. Drafting of the manuscript: L.B., W.J. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: S.Z. Statistical analysis: L.B. study supervision: S.Z. Approval of final manuscript: all authors.
Table 1 Details and Characteristics of the Included Studies
Author (year) | Types of study | Country | Study population | High-risk bleeding* | Time frames for early endoscopy (1) | Time frames for early endoscopy (2) | Sample size (early) | Sample size (non-early) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 1,854 | 738 | |
Wierzchowski | Retrospective cohort study | Poland | UGIB | NA | 24 | 295 | 187 | |
Chak | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | High-risk | 24 | 166 | 36 | |
Kim | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 24 | 187 | 66 | |
Cho | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 571 | 390 | |
Lau | Randomized controlled trial | Hong Kong | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 258 | 258 | |
Tai | Retrospective cohort study | Taiwan | UGIB | High-risk | 8 | 88 | 101 | |
Targownik | Retrospective cohort study | Canada | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 77 | 92 | |
Kumar | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | High-risk | 12 | Total (n=89), high-risk (n=41) | Total (n=272), high-risk (n=80) | |
Lee | Randomized controlled trial | USA | UGIB | NA | 2 | 56 | 54 | |
Bjorkman | Randomized controlled trial | USA | UGIB | NA | 6 | 47 | 46 | |
Lin | Randomized controlled trial | Taiwan | UGIB | High-risk | 12 | Total (n=162), high-risk (n=53) | Total (n=163), high-risk (n=54) | |
Iqbal | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 33 | 146 | |
Jairath | Prospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 12 | 24 | <12 hr (n=834), 12-24 hr (n=1,190) | >24 hr (n=2,158) |
Saleem | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 12 | 24 | <12 hr (n=61), 12–24 hr (n=94) | >24 hr (n=96) |
Schacher | Retrospective cohort study | Switzerland | UGIB | NA | 3 | 43 | 38 | |
Ahn | Retrospective cohort study | South Korea | UGIB | High-risk | 8 | Total (n=60), high-risk (n=18) | Total (n=98), high-risk (n=36) | |
El-Dallal | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 24,830 | 96,005 | |
Siau | Retrospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 24 | 205 | 143 | |
Garg | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 870,159 | 631,412 | |
Sarin | Retrospective cohort study | UK | UGIB | NA | 6 | 24 | <6 hr (n=72), 6–24 hr (n=198) | >24 hr (n=232) |
Cooper | Retrospective cohort study | USA | UGIB | NA | 24 | 583 | 326 | |
Guo | Retrospective cohort study | Hong Kong | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 24 | <6 hr (n=1,008), 6–24 hr (n=3,865) | >24 hr (n=1,601) |
Horibe | Retrospective cohort study | Japan | UGIB | High-risk | 6 | 115 | 115 | |
Whorwell | Randomized controlled trial | UK | UGIB | NA | 6 | 54 | 46 |
UGIB, upper gastrointestinal bleeding; NA, not available.
*The risk of bleeding was evaluated and confirmed based on (1) symptoms of overt UGIB (witnessed hematemesis, bloody nasogastric aspirate, or hematochezia) or hemodynamic instability (systolic blood pressure <100 mm Hg or heart rate >100 beats/min); (2) abnormal laboratory indices (hemoglobin <12 g/dL and urea >6.5 mmol/L); (3) risk factors including age >60 years, ischemic heart disease, liver disease, cardiac failure, and metastatic malignancy and (4) have high-risk stigmata on endoscopy. Patients with at least one of the standards above were regarded as high-risk bleeding populations and included in the subgroup analysis.
Table 2 Principal Results of the Included Studies (Early vs Non-Early)
Author (year) | Mortality, % | Recurrent bleeding, % | Surgery, % | Blood transfusion, % | Primary hemostasis, % | Angiographic embolization, % | Repeat endoscopy, % | Length of stay, mean±SD, day |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper | 6.2 vs 7.3 | NA | 1.2 vs 3.4 | NA | 31.8 vs 32.9 | NA | NA | 4.78±2.75 vs 7.19±4.74 |
Wierzchowski | 6.78 vs 9.09 | 12.2 vs 18.2 | 2.37 vs 6.42 | NA | 88.5 vs 40.1 | NA | NA | 4.3±11.91 vs 4.79±27.22 |
Chak | 4.2 vs 5.6 | 16.9 vs 19.4 | 6.0 vs 5.6 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 6.31±3.8 vs 7±2.97 |
Kim | 46.5 vs 39.4 | 20.3 vs 25.6 | 1.6 vs 0 | NA | 32.1 vs 12.1 | 14.4 vs 15.2 | 20.3 vs 15.2 | 52.0±48.3 vs 57.4±58.8 |
Cho | 1.6 vs 3.8 | 11.4 vs 9.0 | 1.1 vs 0 | NA | 69.5 vs 53.3 | 2.8 vs 0.5 | NA | 6.7±7.8 vs 6.4±7.5 |
Lau | ANVUGIB: 7.3 vs 6.3 | ANVUGIB: 9.9 vs 6.7 | ANVUGIB: 0.96 vs 0 | ANVUGIB: 90.6 vs 91.6 | ANVUGIB: 57.9 vs 45.2 | ANVUGIB: 0.86 vs 0.84 | NA | ANVUGIB: 7.64±7.63 vs 6.81±6.61 |
AVUGIB: 24.0 vs 10.5 | AVUGIB: 16.0 vs 15.8 | AVUGIB: 0 vs 5.3 | AVUGIB: 80.0 vs 78.9 | AVUGIB: 80.0 vs 89.5 | AVUGIB: 4.0 vs 0 | AVUGIB: 8.88±7.60 vs 7.95±4.14 | ||
Tai | 1 vs 6 | 7 vs 10 | 0 vs 0 | 74 vs 78 | 95 vs 95 | 2 (2) vs 4 (4), p=0.687 | 33 vs 50 | 5.1±5 vs 6.0±7.7 |
Targownik | 8 vs 6 | 9 vs 8 | 8 vs 2 | NA | 53 vs 37 | NA | 10 v s 15 | 4±15.16 vs 4±12.76 |
Kumar | Total: 4 vs 1, high-risk: 5 vs 1 | Total: 11 vs 4, high-risk: 12 vs 6 | Total: 4 vs 0, high-risk: 2 vs 0 | Total: 85 vs 75, high-risk: 98 vs 99 | NA | Total: 6 vs 1, high-risk: 7 vs 2 | Total: 10 vs 1, high-risk: 7 vs 2 | Total: 4.3±4.2 vs 4.0±4.0, high-risk: NA |
Lee | 0 vs 3.7 | 3.6 vs 5.6 | 3.6 vs 1.9 | NA | NA | NA | 7.1 vs 7.4 | 2.35±3.6 vs 2.43±0.86 |
Bjorkman | 0 vs 0 | NA | 2.1 vs 2.2 | 40.4 vs 32.6 | NA | 0 vs 0 | 8.5 vs 2.2 | 3.98±3.89 vs 3.26±3.17 |
Lin | 3.8 vs 1.8 | 5.7 vs 9.2 | 5.7 vs 7.4 | NA | 43.4 vs 42.6 | NA | NA | 4.7±4.4 vs 4.2±6 |
Iqbal | 6.8 vs 6.1 | 8.3 vs 12.1 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 6.1±11.91 vs 6.0±27.22 |
Jairath | <12 hr: 9.0 | <12 hr: 19.7 | 7.6 vs 3.3 vs 2.2 | <12 hr: 49.2 | NA | NA | NA | <12 hr: 11.46±15.16 |
12–24 hr: 6.3 | 12–24 hr: 10.9 | 12–24 hr: 37.1 | 12–24 hr: 8.04±8.96 | |||||
>24 hr: 5.4 | >24 hr: 8.8 | >24 hr: 31.7 | >24 hr: 15.37±27.22 | |||||
Saleem | <12 hr: 1.64 | NA | <12 hr: 3.28 | <12 hr: 54.10 | <12 hr: 35.71 | <12 hr: 4.92 | <12 hr: 26.23 | NA |
12–24 hr: 1.06 | 12–24 hr: 2.13 | 12–24 hr: 48.94 | 12–24 hr: 33.33; | 12–24 hr: 2.13 | 12–24 hr: 4.26 | |||
>24 hr: 1.04 | >24 hr:1.04 | >24 hr:50.0 | >24 hr:77.78 | >24 hr:1.04 | >24 hr:2.08 | |||
Schacher | 0 vs 0 | 14 vs 16 | 9.3 vs 7.9 | NA | 76.7 vs 47.4 | NA | NA | 5.9±15.16 vs 5.1±12.76 |
Ahn | Total: 1.7 vs 2.0, high-risk: 0 vs 5.6 | Total: 6.7 vs 5.1, high-risk: 11.1 vs 13.9 | Total: 0 vs 1.0, high-risk: 0 vs 2.8 | NA | Total: 71.1 vs 35.7, high-risk:61.1 vs 41.7 | Total: 5 vs 2.0, high-risk:11.1 vs 2.8 | Total: 3.3 vs 3.1, high-risk:5.6 vs 8.3 | Total: 7.3±5.2 vs 9.1±9.4, high-risk: 7.7±5.3 vs 12.0±9.9 |
El-Dallal | 2.5 vs 1.8 | NA | 1.43 (0.89–2.31)*, p=0.14 | NA | NA | 1.43 (0.93–2.19)*, p=0.11 | NA | 3.93±9.41 vs 5.1±8.58 |
Siau | 7.8 vs 4.9 | 12.2 vs 3.9 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 4 vs 5 |
Garg | 3.0 vs 4.2 | NA | NA | 54.8 vs 51.3 | 43.2 vs 51.3 | NA | NA | 4.6±0.02 vs 8.5±0.08 |
Sarin | <6 hr: 22.2 | NA | <6 hr: 12.5 | <6 hr: 81.9 | <6 hr: 52.8 | NA | <6 hr: 22.2 | <6 hr: 5.2±12 |
6–24 hr: 25.8 | 6–24 hr: 14.6 | 6–24 hr: 15.7 | 6–24 hr: 58.6 | 6–24 hr: 21.2 | 6–24 hr: 5.0±10.6 | |||
>24 hr: 9.9 | >24 hr: 5.2 | >24 hr: 75.9 | >24 hr: 22.4 | >24 hr: 8.6 | >24 hr: 4.3±11 | |||
Cooper | 3.7 vs 3.4 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 5.0 vs 6.4 |
Guo | <6 hr: 6.2 | NA | NA | NA | NA | <6 hr: 1.215 (1.107–1.334)†, p<0.001; | NA | <6 hr: 7.28±12.07 |
6–24 hr: 4.3 | 6–24 hr: 6.49±9.01 | |||||||
>24 hr: 5.8 | >24 hr: 1.040 (0.944–1.145)†, p=0.426 | >24 hr: 6.96±11.75 | ||||||
Horibe | 2.61 vs 7.83 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Whorwell | 11.1 vs 15.2 | NA | 29.6 vs 28.3 | NA | NA | NA | NA | 12.0±7.6 vs 12.0±6.6 |
ANVUGIB, acute nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding; AVUGIB, acute variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding; NA, not available.
*Odds ratio (95% confidence interval); †Hazard ratio (95% confidence interval).
Table 3 Subgroup Analysis for Outcomes Based on Different Cutoff Times for Endoscopy
Outcome assessed | No. of studies | Estimate | 95% CI | p-value | I2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endoscopy ≤12 hr vs >12 hr | |||||
Mortality | 3 | 1.66 | 1.27 to 2.18 | <0.001 | 0 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 2.36 | 1.93 to 2.88 | <0.001 | 0 |
Surgery | 3 | 3.24 | 2.35 to 4.47 | <0.001 | 0.17 |
Angiographic embolization | 2 | 2.16 | 0.49 to 9.46 | 0.310 | 0.71 |
Length of stay | 2 | –0.83 | –3.07 to 1.41 | 0.470 | 0.89 |
Primary hemostasis | 1 | 2.29 | 1.25 to 4.17 | 0.007 | NA |
Repeat endoscopy | 2 | 9.39 | 4.36 to 20.20 | <0.001 | 0 |
Blood transfusion | 3 | 1.81 | 1.48 to 2.22 | <0.001 | 0.13 |
Endoscopy ≤8 hr vs >8 hr | |||||
Mortality | 2 | 0.35 | 0.07 to 1.74 | 0.200 | 0 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 1.06 | 0.35 to 3.19 | 0.910 | 0 |
Surgery | 2 | 0.54 | 0.02 to 13.40 | 0.700 | NA |
Angiographic embolization | 2 | 1.15 | 0.33 to 4.00 | 0.830 | 0.27 |
Length of stay | 2 | –1.25 | –2.68 to 0.17 | 0.090 | 0 |
Primary hemostasis | 2 | 4.13 | 2.58 to 6.61 | <0.001 | 0 |
Repeat endoscopy | 2 | 1.11 | 0.24 to 5.09 | 0.890 | 0 |
Blood transfusion | 1 | 0.79 | 0.40 to 1.54 | 0.480 | NA |
Endoscopy ≤6 hr vs >6 hr | |||||
Mortality | 5 | 0.89 | 0.52 to 1.53 | 0.680 | 0.64 |
Recurrent bleeding | 2 | 1.29 | 0.86 to 1.93 | 0.210 | 0 |
Surgery | 3 | 1.59 | 0.81 to 3.12 | 0.180 | 0 |
Angiographic embolization | 1 | 5.59 | 1.28 to 24.46 | 0.020 | NA |
Length of stay | 4 | 0.51 | –0.09 to 1.10 | 0.100 | 0 |
Primary hemostasis | 3 | 1.94 | 1.56 to 2.42 | <0.001 | 0 |
Repeat endoscopy | 3 | 1.22 | 1.11 to 1.33 | <0.001 | 0.31 |
Blood transfusion | 2 | 3.21 | 1.07 to 9.61 | 0.040 | 0.57 |
Endoscopy ≤3 hr vs >3 hr | |||||
Mortality | 1 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Recurrent bleeding | 1 | 0.86 | 0.25 to 2.95 | 0.820 | NA |
Angiographic embolization | 1 | 1.06 | 0.34 to 3.35 | 0.920 | NA |
Length of stay | 1 | 0.80 | –5.28 to 6.88 | 0.800 | NA |
Primary hemostasis | 1 | 3.67 | 1.42 to 9.50 | 0.007 | NA |
CI, confidence interval; NA, not available.
Table 4 Assessment of the Methodological Quality (Cochrane Risk of Bias for Randomized Controlled Trials)
Author (year) | Sequence generation | Allocation concealment | Blinding of participants and personnel | Blinding of outcome assessors | Incomplete outcome data | Selective outcome reporting | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lau | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Lee | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Bjorkman | Low | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Low |
Lin | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Low | Low |
Whorwell | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Low | Unclear | Low |
Table 5 Assessment of the Methodological Quality (Newcastle-Ottawa for Observational Studies)
Author (year) | Selection | Comparability | Outcome | Total | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S1 | S2 | S3 | S4 | C | O1 | O2 | O3 | ||||
Cooper | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Wierzchowski | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Chak | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Kim | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Cho | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Tai | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Targownik | - | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 6 | ||
Kumar | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Iqbal | - | * | * | * | ** | * | * | - | 7 | ||
Jairath | * | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Saleem | * | * | * | - | ** | * | * | * | 8 | ||
Schacher | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
Ahn | * | * | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 9 | ||
El-Dallal | - | - | * | * | ** | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Siau | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Garg | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Sarin | * | * | * | - | - | * | * | * | 6 | ||
Cooper | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | - | 6 | ||
Guo | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | * | 7 | ||
Horibe | * | * | * | - | * | * | * | - | 6 |
A study can receive up to four stars for Selection (S1=representativeness of the exposed cohort, S2=selection of the nonexposed cohort, S3=ascertainment of exposure, and S4=demonstration that the outcome of interest was not present at the start of the study), two stars for Comparability (C=comparability of cohorts based on design or analysis), and three stars for Outcome (O1=assessment of outcome, O2=follow-up enough for outcomes to occur, O3=adequacy of follow-up of cohorts).