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Gut and Liver is an international journal of gastroenterology, focusing on the gastrointestinal tract, liver, biliary tree, pancreas, motility, and neurogastroenterology. Gut atnd Liver delivers up-to-date, authoritative papers on both clinical and research-based topics in gastroenterology. The Journal publishes original articles, case reports, brief communications, letters to the editor and invited review articles in the field of gastroenterology. The Journal is operated by internationally renowned editorial boards and designed to provide a global opportunity to promote academic developments in the field of gastroenterology and hepatology. +MORE
Yong Chan Lee |
Professor of Medicine Director, Gastrointestinal Research Laboratory Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Univ. California San Francisco San Francisco, USA |
Jong Pil Im | Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea |
Robert S. Bresalier | University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, USA |
Steven H. Itzkowitz | Mount Sinai Medical Center, NY, USA |
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Lu Chen1 , Jinjin Dai2 , Qing Xie1 , Xiaolin Wang1 , Wei Cai1
Correspondence to: Wei Cai
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9324-5987
E-mail carieyc@hotmail.com
Xiaolin Wang
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5286-8758
E-mail visit-12345@hotmail.com
Qing Xie
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2889-5670
E-mail xieqingrjh@163.com
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Gut Liver 2022;16(3):456-464. https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl210449
Published online March 24, 2022, Published date May 15, 2022
Copyright © Gut and Liver.
Background/Aims: Metabolic risk factors could accelerate hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related mortality; however, their impacts on disease severity in HBV-related acute on chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients remain unexplored. In this study, we assessed the effects of metabolic risk factors on the outcome of HBV-ACLF patients.
Methods: This study retrospectively enrolled antiviral therapy naïve HBV-ACLF patients from a single center in China. Patients were evaluated according to Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, 30-day, 90-day mortality and survival rate to estimate the prognosis of HBV-ACLF. The impacts of different metabolic risk factors were further analyzed.
Results: A total of 233 patients, including 158 (67.8%) with metabolic risk factors and 75 (32.2%) without metabolic risk factors, were finally analyzed. Patients with metabolic risk factors had significantly higher MELD score (22.6±6.1 vs 19.8±3.8, p<0.001), 90-day mortality rate (56.3% vs 38.7%, p=0.017), and shorter median survival time (58 days vs 75 days: hazard ratio, 1.553; 95% confidence interval, 1.061 to 2.274; p=0.036) than patients without them. Moreover, metabolic risk factors were independently associated with patients’ 90-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.621; 95% confidence interval, 1.016 to 2.585; p=0.043). Prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension were related to higher rates of infection and worse renal function in HBV-ACLF patients.
Conclusions: HBV-ACLF patients with metabolic risk factors, especially prediabetes/diabetes or hypertension, could have more severe disease and lower survival rates. In addition, the existence of metabolic disorder is an independent risk factor for HBV-ACLF patients’ 90-day mortality.
Keywords: Metabolic risk factor, Hepatitis B virus, Acute-on-chronic liver failure, 90-Day mortality
Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection remains the leading cause of end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China, with about 90 million people infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and around 400,000 people died from CHB-related diseases annually.1 As the prevalence of metabolic disorders, such as obesity, diabetes and metabolic syndrome dramatically increased in recent years, the co-occurrence of metabolic disorders and CHB is commonly encountered at present.2,3 Gao
HBV-related acute on chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is characterized by an acute insult on the basis of CHB background. As an end-stage type of CHB, it occurs in approximately 30% of HBV-related cirrhosis patients.10,11 The short-term mortality of HBV-ACLF is as high as 50%12,13 and the only alliable treatment is liver transplantation. Several predisposing factors have been demonstrated to affect the outcome of patients with HBV-ACLF, such as HBV genotype,14 infection,15 and acute kidney injury.16 Up till now, the impact of metabolic risk factors on the progression of HBV-ACLF patients remain poorly understood. Given that metabolic disorders can lead to several complications, such as fatty liver,17 chronic kidney injury,18 and infectious disease,19 we suspected that metabolic risk factors may accelerate the progression of HBV-ACLF.
In this study, in order to identify the impact of metabolic risk factors on the disease severity and prognosis of HBV-related ACLF, we enrolled patients with HBV-ACLF and investigated the characteristics of HBV-ACLF patients with or without concomitant metabolic risk factors, including overweight/obesity, dyslipidemia, prediabetes/diabetes, and hypertension and we evaluated the impact of metabolic risk factors on the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients.
HBV-ACLF patients admitted to the Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, between 2015 and 2020, aged 18 to 80 years, were retrospectively recruited in the study. CHB was defined as detection of hepatitis B virus surface antigen on two occasions measured at least 6 months apart.20 The including criteria of HBV-ACLF were based on both the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B21 and Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria:22 (1) hepatitis B virus surface antigen positive longer than 6 months; (2) serum bilirubin ≥5 mg/dL and coagulopathy (international normalized ratio [INR] ≥1.5 or prothrombin activity <40%); or (3) complicated within 4 weeks by clinical ascites and/or encephalopathy. The excluding criteria were as followed: (1) patients received liver transplantation; (2) accompanied with HCC or other solid organ cancer; or (3) copresence of other hepatitis, such as hepatitis C, hepatitis E or autoimmune hepatitis, drug-induced liver injury. A detailed flowchart for the enrollment of the patients is presented in Fig. 1. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine (approval number: 2016-111). Informed consent was waived due to the retrospective study design.
Patients included in this study were further classified into three groups: patients with no metabolic risk factor, patients with single metabolic risk factor and patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors. The diagnosis standards of metabolic risk factors were as followed: (1) overweight/obesity was defined as body mass index ≥23 kg/m2;23 (2) dyslipidemia was defined as plasma triglycerides ≥1.7 mmol/L or plasma high-density lipoprotein cholesterol <1.0 mmol/L for men and <1.3 mmol/L for women;24 (3) prediabetes was diagnosed as fasting glucose levels 5.6 to 6.9 mmol/L, or 2-hour post-load glucose levels 7.8 to 11.0 mmol/L, or hemoglobin A1c 5.7% to 6.4%. Diabetes was diagnosed according to the standard diagnostic criteria;25 or (4) hypertension was defined as blood pressure ≥130/85 mm Hg or specific drug treatment.26 Among 233 patients, 75 patients had no metabolic risk factor, 102 patients had one metabolic risk factor (37 with only overweight/obesity, 14 with only dyslipidemia, 38 with only prediabetes/diabetes, and 13 with only hypertension) and 56 patients had ≥2 risk factors.
Blood samples were collected at the time of admission to the hospital. Complete the whole blood count, liver function panel, renal function panel, lipid panel (total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lower-density lipoprotein cholesterol), and disseminated intravascular coagulation panel (prothrombin activity and international normalization ratio) were tested. The patients’ medical history and blood pressure were also recorded at admission. The Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score were calculated from the first results of laboratory examination of the patients. Examinations to evaluate the infection were undertaken as needed, including chest computed tomography scan, abdominal paracentesis, urinary test, and blood culture.
GraphPad Prism v8.0 (GraphPad Software, San Diego, CA, USA) was used for statistical analysis in the study. Mean±standard deviation was used for data expression. Continuous variables were compared with the Student t-test or the Mann-Whitney U test, and three-group continuous variables comparison were analyzed by analysis of variance. The categorical variables were analyzed with the chi-square test. The Cox-regression method was performed by SPSS version 25 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA), and multivariant including age, CTP score, MELD score, with metabolic risk factors, with infection, with decompensated cirrhosis, total bilirubin, serum creatinine, INR, HBV DNA were analyzed.
A total of 302 patients were enrolled in this study and 233 patients were finally included in the analysis (Fig. 1). Patients were predominantly male (88%) with a mean age of 48±13 years. Patients were divided into three groups according to the number of co-existing metabolic risk factors. As illustrated in Table 1, 75 patients (32.2%) had no metabolic related risk factor; 102 patients (43.8%) had only one metabolic risk factor (37 with overweight/obesity, 14 with dyslipidemia, 38 with prediabetes/diabetes, 13 with hypertension) and 56 patients (24%) had ≥2 metabolic risk factors. We then compared the biochemical parameters among the three groups. All patients received antiviral treatment when they were admitted to the hospital. There were no statistical differences in age, sex, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, serum albumin, alpha-fetoprotein, HBV DNA, hepatitis B e antigen positivity, the incidences of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and the proportion of underlying cirrhosis among different groups. Notably, analysis of variance test indicated that total bilirubin and serum creatinine were significantly different among the three groups (patients with no risk factors vs patients with one risk factor vs patients with ≥2 risk factors). Further analysis showed that the characteristics including total bilirubin (286.0±127.0 vs 248.9±105.5, p=0.029) and serum creatinine (83.5±50.5 vs 67.6±19.6, p=0.009) were significantly increased in patients with metabolic risk factors compared to patients with no risk factors. Patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors had significantly higher total bilirubin (301.9±138.1 vs 248.9±105.5, p=0.014), serum creatinine (91.0±70.7 vs 67.6±19.6, p=0.007), and INR (2.0±0.5 vs 1.8±0.3, p=0.017) compared to patients with no risk factors (Table 1). Patients with only one metabolic risk factor had significantly higher serum creatinine than patients with no metabolic risk factor (79.4±34.4 vs 67.6±19.6, p=0.009) (Table 1).
Table 1 The Characteristics of Study Cohort
Characteristic | Total patients (n=233) | With no risk factors (n=75) | With risk factor (n=158) | With 1 risk factor (n=102) | With ≥2 risk factors (n=56) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age, yr | 48.0±13.0 | 46.0±14.6 | 48.7±12.3 p=0.191 | 47.5±13.0 p=0.467 | 49.4±12.3 p=0.152 |
Male sex | 205 (88.0) | 64 (85.3) | 141 (89.2) p=0.396 | 94 (92.2) p=0.218 | 47 (83.9) p>0.999 |
Alanine aminotransferase, IU/L | 1,163.9±837.1 | 1,175.7±904.1 | 1,158.2±806.4 p=0.882 | 1,185.2±790.7 p=0.941 | 1,109±839.3 p=0.667 |
Aspartate aminotransferase, IU/L | 911.1±666.1 | 899.4±671.4 | 916.6±665.6 p=0.855 | 959.2±671.5 p=0.559 | 838.9±653.4 p=0.607 |
Total bilirubin, μmol/L‡ | 274.0±121.5 | 248.9±105.5 | 286.0±127.0 p=0.029* | 277.3±120.3 p=0.105 | 301.9±138.1 p=0.014* |
Serum creatinine, μmol/L‡ | 78.4±43.6 | 67.6±19.6 | 83.5±50.5 p=0.009† | 79.4±34.4 p=0.009† | 91.0±70.7 p=0.007† |
International normalized ratio | 2.0±1.7 | 1.8±0.3 | 2.1±2.0 p=0.228 | 2.2±2.5 p=0.241 | 2.0±0.5 p=0.017* |
Albumin, g/L | 31.7±20.7 | 30.2±4.5 | 32.4±24.9 p=0.369 | 30.7±4.8 p=0.468 | 35.7±41.4 p=0.211 |
Alpha-fetoprotein, ng/mL | 202.8±512.3 | 139.9±239.3 | 232.8±598.9 p=0.198 | 234.1±593.2 p=0.176 | 230.4±614.6 p=0.207 |
HBV DNA, log IU/mL | 6.19±1.46 | 6.26±1.37 | 6.16±1.50 p=0.865 | 6.12±1.56 p=0.603 | 6.24±1.42 p=0.869 |
HBeAg positive | 91 (39.1) | 25 (33.3) | 66 (41.8) p=0.251 | 45 (44.1) p=0.164 | 21 (37.5) p=0.712 |
Ascites | 210 (90.1) | 67 (89.3) | 143 (90.5) p=0.816 | 92 (90.2) p>0.999 | 51 (91.1) p>0.999 |
Hepatic encephalopathy | 81 (34.8) | 24 (32.0) | 57 (36.1) p=0.560 | 39 (38.2) p=0.430 | 18 (32.1) p>0.999 |
Cirrhosis | 123 (52.8) | 39 (52.0) | 84 (53.2) p=0.889 | 55 (53.9) p=0.879 | 29 (51.8) p>0.999 |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%).
HBV DNA, hepatitis B virus DNA; HBeAg, hepatitis B e antigen.
*p<0.05, †p<0.01 as compared with patients with no risk factors (with Student t-test or Mann-Whitney U test); ‡Analysis of variance (patients with no risk factors vs patients with 1 risk factor vs patients with ≥2 risk factors).
The MELD and the CTP scores were valued to evaluate the disease severity. The mean CTP and MELD scores for total patients were 10.2±1.2 and 21.7±5.6, respectively. Significantly higher MELD scores were observed in patients with metabolic risk factor as compared to patients with no metabolic risk factor (22.6±6.1 vs 19.8±3.8, p<0.001). Both patients with only one (22.3±5.9, p=0.001) and with ≥2 metabolic risk factors (23.2±6.5, p<0.001) had significantly higher MELD scores than patients without risk factor. No significant differences in CTP scores were detected (Table 2).
Table 2 The Disease Severity Evaluations in HBV-ACLF Patients with or without Metabolic Risk Factors
Patients | CTP score | MELD score | 30-Day mortality | 90-Day mortality |
---|---|---|---|---|
Total (n=233) | 10.2±1.2 | 21.7±5.6 | 55 (23.6) | 118 (50.6) |
With no risk factors (n=75, 32.2%) | 10.0±1.2 | 19.8±3.8 | 13 (17.3) | 29 (38.7) |
With risk factor (n=158, 67.8%) | 10.2±1.2 p=0.258 | 22.6±6.1 p<0.001‡ | 42 (26.6) p=0.139 | 89 (56.3) p=0.017* |
With 1 risk factor (n=102) | 10.2±1.2 p=0.476 | 22.3±5.9 p=0.001† | 24 (23.5) p=0.354 | 57 (55.9) p=0.033* |
With ≥2 risk factors (n=56) | 10.3±1.3 p=0.367 | 23.2±6.5 p<0.001‡ | 18 (32.1) p=0.062 | 32 (57.1) p=0.051 |
With overweight/obesity (n=84) | 10.2±1.3 p=0.302 | 22.9±5.8 p<0.001‡ | 23 (27.4) p=0.184 | 46 (54.8) p=0.056 |
With dyslipidemia (n=40) | 10.1±1.3 p=0.756 | 21.3±5.3 p=0.079 | 9 (22.5) p=0.619 | 21 (52.5) p=0.171 |
With prediabetes/diabetes (n=81) | 10.4±1.2 p=0.078 | 23.0±5.9 p<0.001‡ | 24 (29.6) p=0.090 | 49 (60.5) p=0.010* |
With hypertension (n=30) | 10.0±1.1 p=0.978 | 22.4±5.0 p=0.005† | 12 (40.0) p=0.022* | 18 (60.0) p=0.054 |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%).
HBV-ACLF, hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure; CTP, Child-Turcotte-Pugh; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease.
*p<0.05, †p<0.01, ‡p<0.001 as compared with patients with no risk factors.
Overall, 55 patients (23.6%) died in 30 days and 118 patients (50.6%) died in 90 days. The median survival days for patients with or without metabolic risk factors were 58 and 75 days, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 1.553; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.061 to 2.274; p=0.036) (Fig. 2). The median survival for patients with only one metabolic risk factor and for patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors were 65 days and 49 days, respectively. Statistical difference was found between patients with no metabolic risk factor and with ≥2 metabolic risk factors (p=0.029) (Supplementary Fig. 1). Patients with only one metabolic risk factor had significantly higher 90-day mortality than patients without metabolic risk factor (55.9% vs 38.7%, p=0.033). Interestingly, the 90-day mortality of patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors was not significantly different from patients with no metabolic risk factor. No differences were detected in 30-day mortality among different groups (Table 2).
Multivariant analysis by the Cox-regression proportional hazards method was further performed to investigate the association between metabolic risk factors and 30-day or 90-day mortality. The results showed that age, CTP score, MELD score, infection, INR were independent risk factors for 30-day and 90-day mortality. Metabolic risk factor was independently associated with 90-day mortality (HR, 1.621; 95% CI, 1.016 to 2.585; p=0.043) but not 30-day mortality (Table 3).
Table 3 Multivariate Analysis of 30-Day and 90-Day Mortality by Using the Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model
Mortality | Wald | df | Exp (B) | 95% CI | p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30-Day mortality | |||||
Age | 12.118 | 1 | 1.037 | (1.016–1.058) | 0.000 |
CTP score | 21.040 | 1 | 1.891 | (1.441–2.483) | 0.000 |
MELD score | 5.017 | 1 | 1.051 | (1.006–1.097) | 0.025 |
Infection | 5.109 | 1 | 2.416 | (1.124–5.192) | 0.024 |
INR | 4.356 | 1 | 1.155 | (1.007–1.325) | 0.039 |
90-Day mortality | |||||
Age | 11.076 | 1 | 1.026 | (1.011–1.041) | 0.001 |
CTP score | 21.466 | 1 | 1.573 | (1.299–1.905) | 0.000 |
MELD score | 4.036 | 1 | 1.036 | (1.001–1.072) | 0.045 |
Infection | 18.294 | 1 | 3.771 | (2.052–6.927) | 0.000 |
Metabolic risk factor | 4.112 | 1 | 1.621 | (1.016–2.585) | 0.043 |
INR | 5.974 | 1 | 1.177 | (1.033–1.342) | 0.015 |
CI, confidence interval; CTP, Child-Turcotte-Pugh; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease; INR, international normalized ratio.
We further analyzed the impact of specific metabolic risk factor on the disease severity and prognosis of HBV-ACLF. As illustrated in Table 2, patients with overweight/obesity, prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension had increased MELD scores. Patients with hypertension had higher 30-day mortality and patients with prediabetes/diabetes had higher 90-day mortality. The survival analysis demonstrated that patients with prediabetes/diabetes (HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.123 to 2.728; p=0.015) or hypertension (HR, 1.933; 95% CI, 0.993 to 3.765; p=0.025) had significantly lower survival rate compared to patients with no metabolic risk factor (Fig. 3).
The mechanisms underlying the impact of a specific metabolic risk factor on HBV-ACLF might be different. Thus, we assessed the 102 patients with only one risk factor and divided them into four different groups according to their specific metabolic risk factor. Among the 102 patients, 37 (36.3%) had only overweight/obesity, 14 (13.7%) had only dyslipidemia, 38 (37.3%) had only prediabetes/diabetes, and 13 (12.7%) had only hypertension. As illustrated in Table 4, patients with only overweight/obesity had significantly higher serum creatinine levels (0.90±0.37 vs 0.77±0.22, p=0.022) and MELD scores (21.9±4.5 vs 19.8±3.8, p=0.010). Patients with only dyslipidemia had significantly higher previous hospitalization number (42.9% vs 16.0%, p=0.032). Patients with only prediabetes/diabetes had significantly higher rates of bacterial infection (81.6% vs 57.3%, p=0.012) and higher levels of total bilirubin (17.5±7.9 vs 14.6±6.2, p=0.030), INR (2.0±0.3 vs 1.8±0.3, p=0.042), serum creatinine (0.91±0.42 vs 0.77±0.22, p=0.020) and MELD scores (22.6±4.9 vs 19.8±3.8, p=0.001). Patients with only hypertension had significantly higher serum creatinine levels (0.97±0.39 vs 0.77±0.22, p=0.009) and MELD scores (25.0±10.9 vs 19.8±3.8, p=0.002) (Table 4). These results suggested that the lower survival rates in patients with prediabetes/diabetes might be due to increased infection rates and worse liver and renal function. And the impact of hypertension on HBV-ACLF might be largely due to the impaired renal function.
Table 4 Characteristics of HBV-ACLF Patients with a Single Metabolic Risk Factor
Characteristics | With no risk factor (n=75) | With only overweight/obesity (n=37) | With only dyslipidemia (n=14) | With only prediabetes/diabetes (n=38) | With only hypertension (n=13) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age, yr | 46.5 ±14.3 | 45.8±13.3 p=0.937 | 49.3±11.1 p=0.430 | 47.7±12.4 p=0.550 | 52.8±13.3 p=0.122 |
Decompensation | 67 (89.3) | 32 (86.5) p=0.937 | 13 (92.9) p>0.999 | 36 (94.7) p=0.491 | 11 (84.6) p=0.638 |
Any previous hospitalization | 12 (16.0) | 6 (16.2) p>0.999 | 6 (42.9) p=0.032* | 6 (15.8) p>0.999 | 3 (23.1) p=0.689 |
Bacterial infection | 43 (57.3) | 22 (46.8) p=0.270 | 9 (64.3) p=0.771 | 31 (81.6) p=0.012* | 10 (76.9) p=0.230 |
Gastrointestinal hemorrhage | 3 (4.0) | 0 p=0.550 | 0 p>0.999 | 2 (5.3) p>0.999 | 1 (7.7) p=0.479 |
Ascites | 67 (89.3) | 32 (86.5) p=0.756 | 13 (92.9) p>0.999 | 36 (94.7) p=0.491 | 11 (84.6) p=0.638 |
Hepatic encephalopathy | 24 (32.0) | 16 (43.2) p=0.296 | 3 (21.4) p=0.538 | 16 (42.1) p=0.305 | 4 (30.8) p>0.999 |
Total bilirubin, mg/dL | 14.6±6.2 | 15.2±6.8 p=0.605 | 16.5±5.5 p=0.281 | 17.5±7.9 p=0.030* | 14.9±6.6 p=0.845 |
International normalization ratio | 1.8±0.3 | 1.9±0.6 p=0.147 | 1.7±0.2 p=0.315 | 2.0±0.3 p=0.042* | 2.0 ±0.3 p=0.084 |
Alanine aminotransferase, U/L | 1,175.7±904.1 | 1,195.7±746.8 p=0.908 | 1,166.2±965.7 p=0.972 | 1,095.7±779.4 p=0.643 | 1,437.8 ±781.3 p=0.329 |
Aspartate aminotransferase, U/L | 899.4±671.4 | 954.9±689.8 p=0.684 | 967.1±697.6 p=0.732 | 914.2±721.7 p=0.914 | 1,094.9 ±455.9 p=0.316 |
Serum creatinine, mg/dL | 0.77±0.22 | 0.90±0.37 p=0.022* | 0.82±0.4 p=0.476 | 0.91±0.42 p=0.020* | 0.97±0.39 p=0.009† |
Serum sodium, mmol/L | 135.7±4.6 | 133.6±20.5 p=0.408 | 136.3±4.0 p=0.643 | 134.3±5.4 p=0.171 | 133.4±3.8 p=0.091 |
MELD | 19.8±3.8 | 21.9±4.5 p=0.010* | 20.2±4.5 p=0.693 | 22.6±4.9 p=0.001† | 25.0±10.9 p=0.002† |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%).
HBV-ACLF, hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease.
*p<0.05, †p<0.01 as compared with patients with no risk factors.
Accumulating studies have reported that the hepatic steatosis, metabolic syndrome or metabolic risk factors are associated with CHB disease progression and outcome;27-29 however, the impact of metabolic risk factors on the progression of HBV-ACLF remain unknown. Our results lend further credence that metabolic risk factors are associated with the disease severity and progression of HBV-ACLF. Patients with prediabetes/diabetes or hypertension could have more severe disease and a lower survival rate. Furthermore, the metabolic factor was an independent risk factor for HBV-ACLF patients’ 90-day mortality.
Previous studies regarding the impact of metabolic risk factors on ACLF were mainly focused on alcohol-related ACLF.30 To the best of our knowledge, the current study is the first study to explore the impact of the metabolic related risk factors in HBV-ACLF patients in China. Our study suggested that HBV-ACLF patients with metabolic risk factors tended to have poor outcomes compared with patients without metabolic risk factors. The higher total bilirubin and serum creatinine levels in patients with metabolic risk factors suggested that their liver and kidney were more vulnerable during the progression of HBV-ACLF. Notably, MELD scores were significantly increased in patients with metabolic risk factors; however, no differences were detected in CTP scores. CTP scores included variables of HE and ascites, which were common in patients in our study because of the cirrhosis background (45.1% patients had HE and 90.1% patients had ascites in total). Thus, we speculated that the comparable CTP scores between groups of patients with or without metabolic disorders might be due to the similar prevalence of HE and ascites in different groups.
We noticed that patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors did not show significant differences in 30-day and 90-day mortality compared to those without metabolic risk factors; however, their 30-day mortality rates (32.1%) and 90-day mortality rates (57.1%) were higher than patients with one risk factor (23.5% and 55.9%, respectively) and even higher than patients without risk factors (17.3% and 38.7%, respectively). Since the number of patients with two risk factors was relatively small (n=56), we speculated that the small number of patients we studied could be the possible reason for the results. A larger amount of data should be analyzed in the future.
A previous study studied the impact of metabolic risk factors on the alcoholic-related ACLF patients. It has been reported that that overweight/obesity and dyslipidemia could affect the disease severity and 30-day mortality.30 Intriguingly, our results showed that overweight/obesity or dyslipidemia had no impact on 30-day or 90-day mortality and survival rate, but prediabetes/diabetes or hypertension had significant effect on survival rate. It has been proven that diabetes could pose a higher mortality in CHB patients,31 and was independently associated with an increased risk of fungal infection and worse 30-day mortality in alcoholic-related ACLF patients.32 Our results revealed that patients with prediabetes/diabetes had higher risk of bacterial infection and worse renal function. The higher total bilirubin and INR levels in those patients suggested that their livers are more susceptible to acute insult happened in ACLF. Since diabetes is associated with increased risk of infection,19 chronic kidney disease,18 and fatty liver,17 we speculated that the higher MELD scores and lower survival rates in patients with prediabetes/diabetes might be due to increased infection rates and worse liver and renal function.
In recent years, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as the predominant cause for liver transplantation and HCC.33,34 Evidence has suggested that NAFLD is closely related with metabolic disorders. Based on a meta-analysis results, 42% of NAFLD patients had metabolic syndrome, 69% had hyperlipidemia, 51% had obesity, 39% had hypertension and 22% had diabetes globally.33 Our results provided evidence that metabolic risk factors are associated with HBV-ACLF patients’ prognosis and outcomes. Since patients with metabolic risk factors were most likely to have NAFLD,35 we speculated that NAFLD was also a risk factor for the mortality of patients with HBV-ACLF. Unfortunately, we did not include the prevalence of NAFLD in our study. It will be interesting to explore the impact of NAFLD in the mortality of HBV-ACLF patients in the future.
Taken together, our study suggested that metabolic risk factors, especially prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension were associated with higher mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. The mechanisms underlying the interplay between metabolic related risk factors and HBV-ACLF are poorly understood, which need to be further explored. With the increased prevalence of metabolic diseases, patients with concomitant HBV-ACLF and metabolic disorders are increasingly encountered in clinical practice. Thus, the influence of metabolic disorders should be carefully considered and managed in patients with HBV-ACLF. It will be interesting to evaluate the benefits of strict glucose and blood pressure control in patients with HBV-ACLF. Clinical studies with large-sample cohort are advocated to reveal more comprehensive characteristics of the clinical features and provide more evidence for the management of patients with coincidental HBV-ACLF and metabolic disorders.
Supplementary materials can be accessed at https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl210449.
gnl-16-3-456-supple.pdfThis work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number: 81770578), the National Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai (grant number: 20ZR1433500), the Major Project of National Thirteenth Five-year Plan (grant number: 2017ZX09304016), project of Shanghai Municipal Health and Family Planning (grant number: 20184Y0091).
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
Study concept and design: W.C., X.W. Data acquisition: J.D., L.C. Data analysis and interpretation: L.C., X.W. Drafting of the manuscript; critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: L.C., X.W. Statistical analysis: L.C. Obtained funding: W.C., X.W., L.C. Administrative, technical, or material support; study supervision: Q.X.
Gut and Liver 2022; 16(3): 456-464
Published online May 15, 2022 https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl210449
Copyright © Gut and Liver.
Lu Chen1 , Jinjin Dai2 , Qing Xie1 , Xiaolin Wang1 , Wei Cai1
1Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, and 2Department of Infectious Disease, Suzhou Hospital of Anhui Medical University (Suzhou Municipal Hospital of Anhui Province), Suzhou, China
Correspondence to:Wei Cai
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9324-5987
E-mail carieyc@hotmail.com
Xiaolin Wang
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5286-8758
E-mail visit-12345@hotmail.com
Qing Xie
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2889-5670
E-mail xieqingrjh@163.com
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Background/Aims: Metabolic risk factors could accelerate hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related mortality; however, their impacts on disease severity in HBV-related acute on chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients remain unexplored. In this study, we assessed the effects of metabolic risk factors on the outcome of HBV-ACLF patients.
Methods: This study retrospectively enrolled antiviral therapy naïve HBV-ACLF patients from a single center in China. Patients were evaluated according to Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, 30-day, 90-day mortality and survival rate to estimate the prognosis of HBV-ACLF. The impacts of different metabolic risk factors were further analyzed.
Results: A total of 233 patients, including 158 (67.8%) with metabolic risk factors and 75 (32.2%) without metabolic risk factors, were finally analyzed. Patients with metabolic risk factors had significantly higher MELD score (22.6±6.1 vs 19.8±3.8, p<0.001), 90-day mortality rate (56.3% vs 38.7%, p=0.017), and shorter median survival time (58 days vs 75 days: hazard ratio, 1.553; 95% confidence interval, 1.061 to 2.274; p=0.036) than patients without them. Moreover, metabolic risk factors were independently associated with patients’ 90-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.621; 95% confidence interval, 1.016 to 2.585; p=0.043). Prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension were related to higher rates of infection and worse renal function in HBV-ACLF patients.
Conclusions: HBV-ACLF patients with metabolic risk factors, especially prediabetes/diabetes or hypertension, could have more severe disease and lower survival rates. In addition, the existence of metabolic disorder is an independent risk factor for HBV-ACLF patients’ 90-day mortality.
Keywords: Metabolic risk factor, Hepatitis B virus, Acute-on-chronic liver failure, 90-Day mortality
Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection remains the leading cause of end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China, with about 90 million people infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and around 400,000 people died from CHB-related diseases annually.1 As the prevalence of metabolic disorders, such as obesity, diabetes and metabolic syndrome dramatically increased in recent years, the co-occurrence of metabolic disorders and CHB is commonly encountered at present.2,3 Gao
HBV-related acute on chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is characterized by an acute insult on the basis of CHB background. As an end-stage type of CHB, it occurs in approximately 30% of HBV-related cirrhosis patients.10,11 The short-term mortality of HBV-ACLF is as high as 50%12,13 and the only alliable treatment is liver transplantation. Several predisposing factors have been demonstrated to affect the outcome of patients with HBV-ACLF, such as HBV genotype,14 infection,15 and acute kidney injury.16 Up till now, the impact of metabolic risk factors on the progression of HBV-ACLF patients remain poorly understood. Given that metabolic disorders can lead to several complications, such as fatty liver,17 chronic kidney injury,18 and infectious disease,19 we suspected that metabolic risk factors may accelerate the progression of HBV-ACLF.
In this study, in order to identify the impact of metabolic risk factors on the disease severity and prognosis of HBV-related ACLF, we enrolled patients with HBV-ACLF and investigated the characteristics of HBV-ACLF patients with or without concomitant metabolic risk factors, including overweight/obesity, dyslipidemia, prediabetes/diabetes, and hypertension and we evaluated the impact of metabolic risk factors on the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients.
HBV-ACLF patients admitted to the Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, between 2015 and 2020, aged 18 to 80 years, were retrospectively recruited in the study. CHB was defined as detection of hepatitis B virus surface antigen on two occasions measured at least 6 months apart.20 The including criteria of HBV-ACLF were based on both the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B21 and Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria:22 (1) hepatitis B virus surface antigen positive longer than 6 months; (2) serum bilirubin ≥5 mg/dL and coagulopathy (international normalized ratio [INR] ≥1.5 or prothrombin activity <40%); or (3) complicated within 4 weeks by clinical ascites and/or encephalopathy. The excluding criteria were as followed: (1) patients received liver transplantation; (2) accompanied with HCC or other solid organ cancer; or (3) copresence of other hepatitis, such as hepatitis C, hepatitis E or autoimmune hepatitis, drug-induced liver injury. A detailed flowchart for the enrollment of the patients is presented in Fig. 1. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine (approval number: 2016-111). Informed consent was waived due to the retrospective study design.
Patients included in this study were further classified into three groups: patients with no metabolic risk factor, patients with single metabolic risk factor and patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors. The diagnosis standards of metabolic risk factors were as followed: (1) overweight/obesity was defined as body mass index ≥23 kg/m2;23 (2) dyslipidemia was defined as plasma triglycerides ≥1.7 mmol/L or plasma high-density lipoprotein cholesterol <1.0 mmol/L for men and <1.3 mmol/L for women;24 (3) prediabetes was diagnosed as fasting glucose levels 5.6 to 6.9 mmol/L, or 2-hour post-load glucose levels 7.8 to 11.0 mmol/L, or hemoglobin A1c 5.7% to 6.4%. Diabetes was diagnosed according to the standard diagnostic criteria;25 or (4) hypertension was defined as blood pressure ≥130/85 mm Hg or specific drug treatment.26 Among 233 patients, 75 patients had no metabolic risk factor, 102 patients had one metabolic risk factor (37 with only overweight/obesity, 14 with only dyslipidemia, 38 with only prediabetes/diabetes, and 13 with only hypertension) and 56 patients had ≥2 risk factors.
Blood samples were collected at the time of admission to the hospital. Complete the whole blood count, liver function panel, renal function panel, lipid panel (total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lower-density lipoprotein cholesterol), and disseminated intravascular coagulation panel (prothrombin activity and international normalization ratio) were tested. The patients’ medical history and blood pressure were also recorded at admission. The Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score were calculated from the first results of laboratory examination of the patients. Examinations to evaluate the infection were undertaken as needed, including chest computed tomography scan, abdominal paracentesis, urinary test, and blood culture.
GraphPad Prism v8.0 (GraphPad Software, San Diego, CA, USA) was used for statistical analysis in the study. Mean±standard deviation was used for data expression. Continuous variables were compared with the Student t-test or the Mann-Whitney U test, and three-group continuous variables comparison were analyzed by analysis of variance. The categorical variables were analyzed with the chi-square test. The Cox-regression method was performed by SPSS version 25 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA), and multivariant including age, CTP score, MELD score, with metabolic risk factors, with infection, with decompensated cirrhosis, total bilirubin, serum creatinine, INR, HBV DNA were analyzed.
A total of 302 patients were enrolled in this study and 233 patients were finally included in the analysis (Fig. 1). Patients were predominantly male (88%) with a mean age of 48±13 years. Patients were divided into three groups according to the number of co-existing metabolic risk factors. As illustrated in Table 1, 75 patients (32.2%) had no metabolic related risk factor; 102 patients (43.8%) had only one metabolic risk factor (37 with overweight/obesity, 14 with dyslipidemia, 38 with prediabetes/diabetes, 13 with hypertension) and 56 patients (24%) had ≥2 metabolic risk factors. We then compared the biochemical parameters among the three groups. All patients received antiviral treatment when they were admitted to the hospital. There were no statistical differences in age, sex, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, serum albumin, alpha-fetoprotein, HBV DNA, hepatitis B e antigen positivity, the incidences of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and the proportion of underlying cirrhosis among different groups. Notably, analysis of variance test indicated that total bilirubin and serum creatinine were significantly different among the three groups (patients with no risk factors vs patients with one risk factor vs patients with ≥2 risk factors). Further analysis showed that the characteristics including total bilirubin (286.0±127.0 vs 248.9±105.5, p=0.029) and serum creatinine (83.5±50.5 vs 67.6±19.6, p=0.009) were significantly increased in patients with metabolic risk factors compared to patients with no risk factors. Patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors had significantly higher total bilirubin (301.9±138.1 vs 248.9±105.5, p=0.014), serum creatinine (91.0±70.7 vs 67.6±19.6, p=0.007), and INR (2.0±0.5 vs 1.8±0.3, p=0.017) compared to patients with no risk factors (Table 1). Patients with only one metabolic risk factor had significantly higher serum creatinine than patients with no metabolic risk factor (79.4±34.4 vs 67.6±19.6, p=0.009) (Table 1).
Table 1 . The Characteristics of Study Cohort.
Characteristic | Total patients (n=233) | With no risk factors (n=75) | With risk factor (n=158) | With 1 risk factor (n=102) | With ≥2 risk factors (n=56) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age, yr | 48.0±13.0 | 46.0±14.6 | 48.7±12.3 p=0.191 | 47.5±13.0 p=0.467 | 49.4±12.3 p=0.152 |
Male sex | 205 (88.0) | 64 (85.3) | 141 (89.2) p=0.396 | 94 (92.2) p=0.218 | 47 (83.9) p>0.999 |
Alanine aminotransferase, IU/L | 1,163.9±837.1 | 1,175.7±904.1 | 1,158.2±806.4 p=0.882 | 1,185.2±790.7 p=0.941 | 1,109±839.3 p=0.667 |
Aspartate aminotransferase, IU/L | 911.1±666.1 | 899.4±671.4 | 916.6±665.6 p=0.855 | 959.2±671.5 p=0.559 | 838.9±653.4 p=0.607 |
Total bilirubin, μmol/L‡ | 274.0±121.5 | 248.9±105.5 | 286.0±127.0 p=0.029* | 277.3±120.3 p=0.105 | 301.9±138.1 p=0.014* |
Serum creatinine, μmol/L‡ | 78.4±43.6 | 67.6±19.6 | 83.5±50.5 p=0.009† | 79.4±34.4 p=0.009† | 91.0±70.7 p=0.007† |
International normalized ratio | 2.0±1.7 | 1.8±0.3 | 2.1±2.0 p=0.228 | 2.2±2.5 p=0.241 | 2.0±0.5 p=0.017* |
Albumin, g/L | 31.7±20.7 | 30.2±4.5 | 32.4±24.9 p=0.369 | 30.7±4.8 p=0.468 | 35.7±41.4 p=0.211 |
Alpha-fetoprotein, ng/mL | 202.8±512.3 | 139.9±239.3 | 232.8±598.9 p=0.198 | 234.1±593.2 p=0.176 | 230.4±614.6 p=0.207 |
HBV DNA, log IU/mL | 6.19±1.46 | 6.26±1.37 | 6.16±1.50 p=0.865 | 6.12±1.56 p=0.603 | 6.24±1.42 p=0.869 |
HBeAg positive | 91 (39.1) | 25 (33.3) | 66 (41.8) p=0.251 | 45 (44.1) p=0.164 | 21 (37.5) p=0.712 |
Ascites | 210 (90.1) | 67 (89.3) | 143 (90.5) p=0.816 | 92 (90.2) p>0.999 | 51 (91.1) p>0.999 |
Hepatic encephalopathy | 81 (34.8) | 24 (32.0) | 57 (36.1) p=0.560 | 39 (38.2) p=0.430 | 18 (32.1) p>0.999 |
Cirrhosis | 123 (52.8) | 39 (52.0) | 84 (53.2) p=0.889 | 55 (53.9) p=0.879 | 29 (51.8) p>0.999 |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%)..
HBV DNA, hepatitis B virus DNA; HBeAg, hepatitis B e antigen..
*p<0.05, †p<0.01 as compared with patients with no risk factors (with Student t-test or Mann-Whitney U test); ‡Analysis of variance (patients with no risk factors vs patients with 1 risk factor vs patients with ≥2 risk factors)..
The MELD and the CTP scores were valued to evaluate the disease severity. The mean CTP and MELD scores for total patients were 10.2±1.2 and 21.7±5.6, respectively. Significantly higher MELD scores were observed in patients with metabolic risk factor as compared to patients with no metabolic risk factor (22.6±6.1 vs 19.8±3.8, p<0.001). Both patients with only one (22.3±5.9, p=0.001) and with ≥2 metabolic risk factors (23.2±6.5, p<0.001) had significantly higher MELD scores than patients without risk factor. No significant differences in CTP scores were detected (Table 2).
Table 2 . The Disease Severity Evaluations in HBV-ACLF Patients with or without Metabolic Risk Factors.
Patients | CTP score | MELD score | 30-Day mortality | 90-Day mortality |
---|---|---|---|---|
Total (n=233) | 10.2±1.2 | 21.7±5.6 | 55 (23.6) | 118 (50.6) |
With no risk factors (n=75, 32.2%) | 10.0±1.2 | 19.8±3.8 | 13 (17.3) | 29 (38.7) |
With risk factor (n=158, 67.8%) | 10.2±1.2 p=0.258 | 22.6±6.1 p<0.001‡ | 42 (26.6) p=0.139 | 89 (56.3) p=0.017* |
With 1 risk factor (n=102) | 10.2±1.2 p=0.476 | 22.3±5.9 p=0.001† | 24 (23.5) p=0.354 | 57 (55.9) p=0.033* |
With ≥2 risk factors (n=56) | 10.3±1.3 p=0.367 | 23.2±6.5 p<0.001‡ | 18 (32.1) p=0.062 | 32 (57.1) p=0.051 |
With overweight/obesity (n=84) | 10.2±1.3 p=0.302 | 22.9±5.8 p<0.001‡ | 23 (27.4) p=0.184 | 46 (54.8) p=0.056 |
With dyslipidemia (n=40) | 10.1±1.3 p=0.756 | 21.3±5.3 p=0.079 | 9 (22.5) p=0.619 | 21 (52.5) p=0.171 |
With prediabetes/diabetes (n=81) | 10.4±1.2 p=0.078 | 23.0±5.9 p<0.001‡ | 24 (29.6) p=0.090 | 49 (60.5) p=0.010* |
With hypertension (n=30) | 10.0±1.1 p=0.978 | 22.4±5.0 p=0.005† | 12 (40.0) p=0.022* | 18 (60.0) p=0.054 |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%)..
HBV-ACLF, hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure; CTP, Child-Turcotte-Pugh; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease..
*p<0.05, †p<0.01, ‡p<0.001 as compared with patients with no risk factors..
Overall, 55 patients (23.6%) died in 30 days and 118 patients (50.6%) died in 90 days. The median survival days for patients with or without metabolic risk factors were 58 and 75 days, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 1.553; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.061 to 2.274; p=0.036) (Fig. 2). The median survival for patients with only one metabolic risk factor and for patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors were 65 days and 49 days, respectively. Statistical difference was found between patients with no metabolic risk factor and with ≥2 metabolic risk factors (p=0.029) (Supplementary Fig. 1). Patients with only one metabolic risk factor had significantly higher 90-day mortality than patients without metabolic risk factor (55.9% vs 38.7%, p=0.033). Interestingly, the 90-day mortality of patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors was not significantly different from patients with no metabolic risk factor. No differences were detected in 30-day mortality among different groups (Table 2).
Multivariant analysis by the Cox-regression proportional hazards method was further performed to investigate the association between metabolic risk factors and 30-day or 90-day mortality. The results showed that age, CTP score, MELD score, infection, INR were independent risk factors for 30-day and 90-day mortality. Metabolic risk factor was independently associated with 90-day mortality (HR, 1.621; 95% CI, 1.016 to 2.585; p=0.043) but not 30-day mortality (Table 3).
Table 3 . Multivariate Analysis of 30-Day and 90-Day Mortality by Using the Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model.
Mortality | Wald | df | Exp (B) | 95% CI | p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30-Day mortality | |||||
Age | 12.118 | 1 | 1.037 | (1.016–1.058) | 0.000 |
CTP score | 21.040 | 1 | 1.891 | (1.441–2.483) | 0.000 |
MELD score | 5.017 | 1 | 1.051 | (1.006–1.097) | 0.025 |
Infection | 5.109 | 1 | 2.416 | (1.124–5.192) | 0.024 |
INR | 4.356 | 1 | 1.155 | (1.007–1.325) | 0.039 |
90-Day mortality | |||||
Age | 11.076 | 1 | 1.026 | (1.011–1.041) | 0.001 |
CTP score | 21.466 | 1 | 1.573 | (1.299–1.905) | 0.000 |
MELD score | 4.036 | 1 | 1.036 | (1.001–1.072) | 0.045 |
Infection | 18.294 | 1 | 3.771 | (2.052–6.927) | 0.000 |
Metabolic risk factor | 4.112 | 1 | 1.621 | (1.016–2.585) | 0.043 |
INR | 5.974 | 1 | 1.177 | (1.033–1.342) | 0.015 |
CI, confidence interval; CTP, Child-Turcotte-Pugh; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease; INR, international normalized ratio..
We further analyzed the impact of specific metabolic risk factor on the disease severity and prognosis of HBV-ACLF. As illustrated in Table 2, patients with overweight/obesity, prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension had increased MELD scores. Patients with hypertension had higher 30-day mortality and patients with prediabetes/diabetes had higher 90-day mortality. The survival analysis demonstrated that patients with prediabetes/diabetes (HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.123 to 2.728; p=0.015) or hypertension (HR, 1.933; 95% CI, 0.993 to 3.765; p=0.025) had significantly lower survival rate compared to patients with no metabolic risk factor (Fig. 3).
The mechanisms underlying the impact of a specific metabolic risk factor on HBV-ACLF might be different. Thus, we assessed the 102 patients with only one risk factor and divided them into four different groups according to their specific metabolic risk factor. Among the 102 patients, 37 (36.3%) had only overweight/obesity, 14 (13.7%) had only dyslipidemia, 38 (37.3%) had only prediabetes/diabetes, and 13 (12.7%) had only hypertension. As illustrated in Table 4, patients with only overweight/obesity had significantly higher serum creatinine levels (0.90±0.37 vs 0.77±0.22, p=0.022) and MELD scores (21.9±4.5 vs 19.8±3.8, p=0.010). Patients with only dyslipidemia had significantly higher previous hospitalization number (42.9% vs 16.0%, p=0.032). Patients with only prediabetes/diabetes had significantly higher rates of bacterial infection (81.6% vs 57.3%, p=0.012) and higher levels of total bilirubin (17.5±7.9 vs 14.6±6.2, p=0.030), INR (2.0±0.3 vs 1.8±0.3, p=0.042), serum creatinine (0.91±0.42 vs 0.77±0.22, p=0.020) and MELD scores (22.6±4.9 vs 19.8±3.8, p=0.001). Patients with only hypertension had significantly higher serum creatinine levels (0.97±0.39 vs 0.77±0.22, p=0.009) and MELD scores (25.0±10.9 vs 19.8±3.8, p=0.002) (Table 4). These results suggested that the lower survival rates in patients with prediabetes/diabetes might be due to increased infection rates and worse liver and renal function. And the impact of hypertension on HBV-ACLF might be largely due to the impaired renal function.
Table 4 . Characteristics of HBV-ACLF Patients with a Single Metabolic Risk Factor.
Characteristics | With no risk factor (n=75) | With only overweight/obesity (n=37) | With only dyslipidemia (n=14) | With only prediabetes/diabetes (n=38) | With only hypertension (n=13) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age, yr | 46.5 ±14.3 | 45.8±13.3 p=0.937 | 49.3±11.1 p=0.430 | 47.7±12.4 p=0.550 | 52.8±13.3 p=0.122 |
Decompensation | 67 (89.3) | 32 (86.5) p=0.937 | 13 (92.9) p>0.999 | 36 (94.7) p=0.491 | 11 (84.6) p=0.638 |
Any previous hospitalization | 12 (16.0) | 6 (16.2) p>0.999 | 6 (42.9) p=0.032* | 6 (15.8) p>0.999 | 3 (23.1) p=0.689 |
Bacterial infection | 43 (57.3) | 22 (46.8) p=0.270 | 9 (64.3) p=0.771 | 31 (81.6) p=0.012* | 10 (76.9) p=0.230 |
Gastrointestinal hemorrhage | 3 (4.0) | 0 p=0.550 | 0 p>0.999 | 2 (5.3) p>0.999 | 1 (7.7) p=0.479 |
Ascites | 67 (89.3) | 32 (86.5) p=0.756 | 13 (92.9) p>0.999 | 36 (94.7) p=0.491 | 11 (84.6) p=0.638 |
Hepatic encephalopathy | 24 (32.0) | 16 (43.2) p=0.296 | 3 (21.4) p=0.538 | 16 (42.1) p=0.305 | 4 (30.8) p>0.999 |
Total bilirubin, mg/dL | 14.6±6.2 | 15.2±6.8 p=0.605 | 16.5±5.5 p=0.281 | 17.5±7.9 p=0.030* | 14.9±6.6 p=0.845 |
International normalization ratio | 1.8±0.3 | 1.9±0.6 p=0.147 | 1.7±0.2 p=0.315 | 2.0±0.3 p=0.042* | 2.0 ±0.3 p=0.084 |
Alanine aminotransferase, U/L | 1,175.7±904.1 | 1,195.7±746.8 p=0.908 | 1,166.2±965.7 p=0.972 | 1,095.7±779.4 p=0.643 | 1,437.8 ±781.3 p=0.329 |
Aspartate aminotransferase, U/L | 899.4±671.4 | 954.9±689.8 p=0.684 | 967.1±697.6 p=0.732 | 914.2±721.7 p=0.914 | 1,094.9 ±455.9 p=0.316 |
Serum creatinine, mg/dL | 0.77±0.22 | 0.90±0.37 p=0.022* | 0.82±0.4 p=0.476 | 0.91±0.42 p=0.020* | 0.97±0.39 p=0.009† |
Serum sodium, mmol/L | 135.7±4.6 | 133.6±20.5 p=0.408 | 136.3±4.0 p=0.643 | 134.3±5.4 p=0.171 | 133.4±3.8 p=0.091 |
MELD | 19.8±3.8 | 21.9±4.5 p=0.010* | 20.2±4.5 p=0.693 | 22.6±4.9 p=0.001† | 25.0±10.9 p=0.002† |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%)..
HBV-ACLF, hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease..
*p<0.05, †p<0.01 as compared with patients with no risk factors..
Accumulating studies have reported that the hepatic steatosis, metabolic syndrome or metabolic risk factors are associated with CHB disease progression and outcome;27-29 however, the impact of metabolic risk factors on the progression of HBV-ACLF remain unknown. Our results lend further credence that metabolic risk factors are associated with the disease severity and progression of HBV-ACLF. Patients with prediabetes/diabetes or hypertension could have more severe disease and a lower survival rate. Furthermore, the metabolic factor was an independent risk factor for HBV-ACLF patients’ 90-day mortality.
Previous studies regarding the impact of metabolic risk factors on ACLF were mainly focused on alcohol-related ACLF.30 To the best of our knowledge, the current study is the first study to explore the impact of the metabolic related risk factors in HBV-ACLF patients in China. Our study suggested that HBV-ACLF patients with metabolic risk factors tended to have poor outcomes compared with patients without metabolic risk factors. The higher total bilirubin and serum creatinine levels in patients with metabolic risk factors suggested that their liver and kidney were more vulnerable during the progression of HBV-ACLF. Notably, MELD scores were significantly increased in patients with metabolic risk factors; however, no differences were detected in CTP scores. CTP scores included variables of HE and ascites, which were common in patients in our study because of the cirrhosis background (45.1% patients had HE and 90.1% patients had ascites in total). Thus, we speculated that the comparable CTP scores between groups of patients with or without metabolic disorders might be due to the similar prevalence of HE and ascites in different groups.
We noticed that patients with ≥2 metabolic risk factors did not show significant differences in 30-day and 90-day mortality compared to those without metabolic risk factors; however, their 30-day mortality rates (32.1%) and 90-day mortality rates (57.1%) were higher than patients with one risk factor (23.5% and 55.9%, respectively) and even higher than patients without risk factors (17.3% and 38.7%, respectively). Since the number of patients with two risk factors was relatively small (n=56), we speculated that the small number of patients we studied could be the possible reason for the results. A larger amount of data should be analyzed in the future.
A previous study studied the impact of metabolic risk factors on the alcoholic-related ACLF patients. It has been reported that that overweight/obesity and dyslipidemia could affect the disease severity and 30-day mortality.30 Intriguingly, our results showed that overweight/obesity or dyslipidemia had no impact on 30-day or 90-day mortality and survival rate, but prediabetes/diabetes or hypertension had significant effect on survival rate. It has been proven that diabetes could pose a higher mortality in CHB patients,31 and was independently associated with an increased risk of fungal infection and worse 30-day mortality in alcoholic-related ACLF patients.32 Our results revealed that patients with prediabetes/diabetes had higher risk of bacterial infection and worse renal function. The higher total bilirubin and INR levels in those patients suggested that their livers are more susceptible to acute insult happened in ACLF. Since diabetes is associated with increased risk of infection,19 chronic kidney disease,18 and fatty liver,17 we speculated that the higher MELD scores and lower survival rates in patients with prediabetes/diabetes might be due to increased infection rates and worse liver and renal function.
In recent years, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as the predominant cause for liver transplantation and HCC.33,34 Evidence has suggested that NAFLD is closely related with metabolic disorders. Based on a meta-analysis results, 42% of NAFLD patients had metabolic syndrome, 69% had hyperlipidemia, 51% had obesity, 39% had hypertension and 22% had diabetes globally.33 Our results provided evidence that metabolic risk factors are associated with HBV-ACLF patients’ prognosis and outcomes. Since patients with metabolic risk factors were most likely to have NAFLD,35 we speculated that NAFLD was also a risk factor for the mortality of patients with HBV-ACLF. Unfortunately, we did not include the prevalence of NAFLD in our study. It will be interesting to explore the impact of NAFLD in the mortality of HBV-ACLF patients in the future.
Taken together, our study suggested that metabolic risk factors, especially prediabetes/diabetes and hypertension were associated with higher mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. The mechanisms underlying the interplay between metabolic related risk factors and HBV-ACLF are poorly understood, which need to be further explored. With the increased prevalence of metabolic diseases, patients with concomitant HBV-ACLF and metabolic disorders are increasingly encountered in clinical practice. Thus, the influence of metabolic disorders should be carefully considered and managed in patients with HBV-ACLF. It will be interesting to evaluate the benefits of strict glucose and blood pressure control in patients with HBV-ACLF. Clinical studies with large-sample cohort are advocated to reveal more comprehensive characteristics of the clinical features and provide more evidence for the management of patients with coincidental HBV-ACLF and metabolic disorders.
Supplementary materials can be accessed at https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl210449.
gnl-16-3-456-supple.pdfThis work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number: 81770578), the National Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai (grant number: 20ZR1433500), the Major Project of National Thirteenth Five-year Plan (grant number: 2017ZX09304016), project of Shanghai Municipal Health and Family Planning (grant number: 20184Y0091).
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
Study concept and design: W.C., X.W. Data acquisition: J.D., L.C. Data analysis and interpretation: L.C., X.W. Drafting of the manuscript; critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: L.C., X.W. Statistical analysis: L.C. Obtained funding: W.C., X.W., L.C. Administrative, technical, or material support; study supervision: Q.X.
Table 1 The Characteristics of Study Cohort
Characteristic | Total patients (n=233) | With no risk factors (n=75) | With risk factor (n=158) | With 1 risk factor (n=102) | With ≥2 risk factors (n=56) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age, yr | 48.0±13.0 | 46.0±14.6 | 48.7±12.3 p=0.191 | 47.5±13.0 p=0.467 | 49.4±12.3 p=0.152 |
Male sex | 205 (88.0) | 64 (85.3) | 141 (89.2) p=0.396 | 94 (92.2) p=0.218 | 47 (83.9) p>0.999 |
Alanine aminotransferase, IU/L | 1,163.9±837.1 | 1,175.7±904.1 | 1,158.2±806.4 p=0.882 | 1,185.2±790.7 p=0.941 | 1,109±839.3 p=0.667 |
Aspartate aminotransferase, IU/L | 911.1±666.1 | 899.4±671.4 | 916.6±665.6 p=0.855 | 959.2±671.5 p=0.559 | 838.9±653.4 p=0.607 |
Total bilirubin, μmol/L‡ | 274.0±121.5 | 248.9±105.5 | 286.0±127.0 p=0.029* | 277.3±120.3 p=0.105 | 301.9±138.1 p=0.014* |
Serum creatinine, μmol/L‡ | 78.4±43.6 | 67.6±19.6 | 83.5±50.5 p=0.009† | 79.4±34.4 p=0.009† | 91.0±70.7 p=0.007† |
International normalized ratio | 2.0±1.7 | 1.8±0.3 | 2.1±2.0 p=0.228 | 2.2±2.5 p=0.241 | 2.0±0.5 p=0.017* |
Albumin, g/L | 31.7±20.7 | 30.2±4.5 | 32.4±24.9 p=0.369 | 30.7±4.8 p=0.468 | 35.7±41.4 p=0.211 |
Alpha-fetoprotein, ng/mL | 202.8±512.3 | 139.9±239.3 | 232.8±598.9 p=0.198 | 234.1±593.2 p=0.176 | 230.4±614.6 p=0.207 |
HBV DNA, log IU/mL | 6.19±1.46 | 6.26±1.37 | 6.16±1.50 p=0.865 | 6.12±1.56 p=0.603 | 6.24±1.42 p=0.869 |
HBeAg positive | 91 (39.1) | 25 (33.3) | 66 (41.8) p=0.251 | 45 (44.1) p=0.164 | 21 (37.5) p=0.712 |
Ascites | 210 (90.1) | 67 (89.3) | 143 (90.5) p=0.816 | 92 (90.2) p>0.999 | 51 (91.1) p>0.999 |
Hepatic encephalopathy | 81 (34.8) | 24 (32.0) | 57 (36.1) p=0.560 | 39 (38.2) p=0.430 | 18 (32.1) p>0.999 |
Cirrhosis | 123 (52.8) | 39 (52.0) | 84 (53.2) p=0.889 | 55 (53.9) p=0.879 | 29 (51.8) p>0.999 |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%).
HBV DNA, hepatitis B virus DNA; HBeAg, hepatitis B e antigen.
*p<0.05, †p<0.01 as compared with patients with no risk factors (with Student t-test or Mann-Whitney U test); ‡Analysis of variance (patients with no risk factors vs patients with 1 risk factor vs patients with ≥2 risk factors).
Table 2 The Disease Severity Evaluations in HBV-ACLF Patients with or without Metabolic Risk Factors
Patients | CTP score | MELD score | 30-Day mortality | 90-Day mortality |
---|---|---|---|---|
Total (n=233) | 10.2±1.2 | 21.7±5.6 | 55 (23.6) | 118 (50.6) |
With no risk factors (n=75, 32.2%) | 10.0±1.2 | 19.8±3.8 | 13 (17.3) | 29 (38.7) |
With risk factor (n=158, 67.8%) | 10.2±1.2 p=0.258 | 22.6±6.1 p<0.001‡ | 42 (26.6) p=0.139 | 89 (56.3) p=0.017* |
With 1 risk factor (n=102) | 10.2±1.2 p=0.476 | 22.3±5.9 p=0.001† | 24 (23.5) p=0.354 | 57 (55.9) p=0.033* |
With ≥2 risk factors (n=56) | 10.3±1.3 p=0.367 | 23.2±6.5 p<0.001‡ | 18 (32.1) p=0.062 | 32 (57.1) p=0.051 |
With overweight/obesity (n=84) | 10.2±1.3 p=0.302 | 22.9±5.8 p<0.001‡ | 23 (27.4) p=0.184 | 46 (54.8) p=0.056 |
With dyslipidemia (n=40) | 10.1±1.3 p=0.756 | 21.3±5.3 p=0.079 | 9 (22.5) p=0.619 | 21 (52.5) p=0.171 |
With prediabetes/diabetes (n=81) | 10.4±1.2 p=0.078 | 23.0±5.9 p<0.001‡ | 24 (29.6) p=0.090 | 49 (60.5) p=0.010* |
With hypertension (n=30) | 10.0±1.1 p=0.978 | 22.4±5.0 p=0.005† | 12 (40.0) p=0.022* | 18 (60.0) p=0.054 |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%).
HBV-ACLF, hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure; CTP, Child-Turcotte-Pugh; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease.
*p<0.05, †p<0.01, ‡p<0.001 as compared with patients with no risk factors.
Table 3 Multivariate Analysis of 30-Day and 90-Day Mortality by Using the Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model
Mortality | Wald | df | Exp (B) | 95% CI | p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30-Day mortality | |||||
Age | 12.118 | 1 | 1.037 | (1.016–1.058) | 0.000 |
CTP score | 21.040 | 1 | 1.891 | (1.441–2.483) | 0.000 |
MELD score | 5.017 | 1 | 1.051 | (1.006–1.097) | 0.025 |
Infection | 5.109 | 1 | 2.416 | (1.124–5.192) | 0.024 |
INR | 4.356 | 1 | 1.155 | (1.007–1.325) | 0.039 |
90-Day mortality | |||||
Age | 11.076 | 1 | 1.026 | (1.011–1.041) | 0.001 |
CTP score | 21.466 | 1 | 1.573 | (1.299–1.905) | 0.000 |
MELD score | 4.036 | 1 | 1.036 | (1.001–1.072) | 0.045 |
Infection | 18.294 | 1 | 3.771 | (2.052–6.927) | 0.000 |
Metabolic risk factor | 4.112 | 1 | 1.621 | (1.016–2.585) | 0.043 |
INR | 5.974 | 1 | 1.177 | (1.033–1.342) | 0.015 |
CI, confidence interval; CTP, Child-Turcotte-Pugh; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease; INR, international normalized ratio.
Table 4 Characteristics of HBV-ACLF Patients with a Single Metabolic Risk Factor
Characteristics | With no risk factor (n=75) | With only overweight/obesity (n=37) | With only dyslipidemia (n=14) | With only prediabetes/diabetes (n=38) | With only hypertension (n=13) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age, yr | 46.5 ±14.3 | 45.8±13.3 p=0.937 | 49.3±11.1 p=0.430 | 47.7±12.4 p=0.550 | 52.8±13.3 p=0.122 |
Decompensation | 67 (89.3) | 32 (86.5) p=0.937 | 13 (92.9) p>0.999 | 36 (94.7) p=0.491 | 11 (84.6) p=0.638 |
Any previous hospitalization | 12 (16.0) | 6 (16.2) p>0.999 | 6 (42.9) p=0.032* | 6 (15.8) p>0.999 | 3 (23.1) p=0.689 |
Bacterial infection | 43 (57.3) | 22 (46.8) p=0.270 | 9 (64.3) p=0.771 | 31 (81.6) p=0.012* | 10 (76.9) p=0.230 |
Gastrointestinal hemorrhage | 3 (4.0) | 0 p=0.550 | 0 p>0.999 | 2 (5.3) p>0.999 | 1 (7.7) p=0.479 |
Ascites | 67 (89.3) | 32 (86.5) p=0.756 | 13 (92.9) p>0.999 | 36 (94.7) p=0.491 | 11 (84.6) p=0.638 |
Hepatic encephalopathy | 24 (32.0) | 16 (43.2) p=0.296 | 3 (21.4) p=0.538 | 16 (42.1) p=0.305 | 4 (30.8) p>0.999 |
Total bilirubin, mg/dL | 14.6±6.2 | 15.2±6.8 p=0.605 | 16.5±5.5 p=0.281 | 17.5±7.9 p=0.030* | 14.9±6.6 p=0.845 |
International normalization ratio | 1.8±0.3 | 1.9±0.6 p=0.147 | 1.7±0.2 p=0.315 | 2.0±0.3 p=0.042* | 2.0 ±0.3 p=0.084 |
Alanine aminotransferase, U/L | 1,175.7±904.1 | 1,195.7±746.8 p=0.908 | 1,166.2±965.7 p=0.972 | 1,095.7±779.4 p=0.643 | 1,437.8 ±781.3 p=0.329 |
Aspartate aminotransferase, U/L | 899.4±671.4 | 954.9±689.8 p=0.684 | 967.1±697.6 p=0.732 | 914.2±721.7 p=0.914 | 1,094.9 ±455.9 p=0.316 |
Serum creatinine, mg/dL | 0.77±0.22 | 0.90±0.37 p=0.022* | 0.82±0.4 p=0.476 | 0.91±0.42 p=0.020* | 0.97±0.39 p=0.009† |
Serum sodium, mmol/L | 135.7±4.6 | 133.6±20.5 p=0.408 | 136.3±4.0 p=0.643 | 134.3±5.4 p=0.171 | 133.4±3.8 p=0.091 |
MELD | 19.8±3.8 | 21.9±4.5 p=0.010* | 20.2±4.5 p=0.693 | 22.6±4.9 p=0.001† | 25.0±10.9 p=0.002† |
Data are presented as mean±SD or number (%).
HBV-ACLF, hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease.
*p<0.05, †p<0.01 as compared with patients with no risk factors.