Therapeutic Decision-Making Using Endoscopic Ultrasonography in Endoscopic Treatment of Early Gastric Cancer

Jong Yeul Lee; Il Ju Choi; Chan Gyoo Kim; Soo-Jeong Cho; Myeong-Cherl Kook; Keun Won Ryu; Young-Woo Kim

doi:10.5009/gnl14401

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Therapeutic Decision-Making Using Endoscopic Ultrasonography in Endoscopic Treatment of Early Gastric Cancer

Jong Yeul Lee, Il Ju Choi, Chan Gyoo Kim, Soo-Jeong Cho, Myeong-Cherl Kook, Keun Won Ryu, and Young-Woo Kim

Author Info ⁺

Center for Gastric Cancer, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea

Correspondence to: Il Ju Choi, Center for Gastric Cancer, National Cancer Center, 323 Ilsan-ro, Ilsandong-gu, Goyang 10408, Korea, Tel: +82-31-920-2282, Fax: +82-31-920-1127, E-mail: cij1224@ncc.re.kr

Received: October 15, 2014; Revised: December 23, 2014; Accepted: December 31, 2014

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Gut Liver 2016;10(1):42-50. https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl14401

Published online January 15, 2016, Published date January 31, 2016

Abstract

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Abstract
INTRODUCTION
MATERIALS AND METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
Figure
Table
References

Background/Aims

We evaluated the effectiveness of an endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS)-based treatment plan compared to an endoscopy-based treatment plan in selecting candidates with early gastric cancer (EGC) for endoscopic submucosal dissection based on the prediction of invasion depth.

Methods

We reviewed 393 EGCs with differentiated histology from 380 patients who underwent EUS from July 2007 to April 2010. The effectiveness of the EUS-based and endoscopy-based plans was evaluated using a simplified hypothetical treatment algorithm.

Results

The numbers of endoscopically determined mucosal, indeterminate, and submucosal cancers were 253 (64.4%), 56 (14.2%), and 84 (21.4%), respectively. Overall, the appropriate treatment selection rates were 75.3% (296/393) in the endoscopy-based plan and 71.5% (281/393) in the EUS-based plan (p=0.184). For endoscopic mucosal cancers, the appropriate treatment selection rates in the endoscopy-based plan were 88.1% (223/253), while the use of an EUS-based plan significantly decreased this rate to 81.4% (206/253) (p=0.036). For endoscopic submucosal cancers, the appropriate selection rates did not differ between the endoscopy-based plan (46.4%, 39/84) and the EUS-based plan (53.6%, 45/84) (p=0.070).

Conclusions

EUS did not increase the likelihood of selecting the appropriate treatment in differentiated-type EGC. Therefore, EUS may not be necessary before treating differentiated-type EGC, especially in endoscopically presumed mucosal cancers.

Keywords: Early gastric cancer, Conventional endoscopy, Endosonography, Endoscopic submucosal dissection

INTRODUCTION

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Abstract
INTRODUCTION
MATERIALS AND METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
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Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) has been widely employed as a treatment option for differentiated early gastric cancer (EGC) with minimal risk of lymph node metastases because it is less invasive and offers a better quality of life than surgical resection.^1,2 Therefore, the proper selection of candidates for ESD is important in order to avoid both unnecessary surgery and the need for retreatment after ESD. Accurate preoperative prediction of invasion depth in EGC is essential for the selection of patients for ESD.

Conventional endoscopy has been a useful diagnostic modality for evaluating invasion depth of EGC. Previous studies have demonstrated that conventional endoscopy has an accuracy of 72% to 84% for evaluating depth of invasion (mucosa vs submucosa) in EGC.^3?5 Endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) has been used for the locoregional staging of gastric cancer and is regarded as the best available method for the assessment of invasion depth.^6?8 However, the role of EUS in distinguishing mucosal from submucosal cancer in EGC has not been established. Recent studies with large number of patients have reported accuracies of 67% to 82% for staging invasion depth (mucosa vs submucosa) of EGC using EUS.^5,9,10 Reports comparing the accuracy of EUS with that of conventional endoscopy have produced inconsistent results.^5,10?12 Yanai et al.,¹² for example, reported that EUS was useful in combination with conventional endoscopy for evaluating depth of invasion of EGC. Other studies, however, found that EUS failed to improve the accuracy of EGC invasion depth assessment, compared to the accuracy achieved with conventional endoscopy alone; this suggests that EUS may not be routinely necessary.^5,10,11 Therefore, the role of EUS for the accurate preoperative prediction of invasion depth in EGC remains controversial. Furthermore, few studies have examined the impact on EUS-based clinical decision-making to the preoperative evaluation of EGC. Thus, we conducted a study to evaluate the effectiveness of EUS-based treatment plan compared with endoscopy-based treatment plan for selecting appropriate candidates for ESD focused on the prediction of invasion depth.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

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INTRODUCTION
MATERIALS AND METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
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1. Patients

From July 2007 to April 2010, data of conventional endoscopy and EUS regarding 779 lesions in 756 patients with an endoscopic diagnosis of EGC were prospectively collected at the National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea. Of the 779 EGCs, 296 lesions were excluded from analysis because of undifferentiated or mixed histology from histologic evaluation of the endoscopic biopsy specimens, and 90 lesions were excluded because of undifferentiated or mixed histology from histologic evaluation of the resected specimens. Thus, a total of 393 lesions in 380 patients was included in this retrospective analysis. The Institutional Review Board of the National Cancer Center approved this study (NCC2014-0024).

2. Endoscopic invasion depth assessment

Conventional endoscopic examination was performed by four expert endoscopists (I.J.C., C.G.K., J.Y.L., S.J.C.) using a conventional white-light endoscope (GIF-H260; Olympus, Tokyo, Japan). Indigocarmine solution was sprayed on the lesion and surrounding mucosa in order to enhance the surface details. Macroscopic type of gastric cancers was classified using the Paris endoscopic classification of superficial neoplastic lesions:¹³ type I (protruded), type IIa (superficial, elevated), type IIb (flat), type IIc (superficial, depressed), and type III (excavated). Tumor location was described by the area of the stomach involved: upper, middle, and lower. Ulceration was defined as a lesion with ulceration or fibrous scar. Endoscopic invasion depth assessment was classified as follows (Fig. 1): mucosal cancer (protruding lesions with a smooth surface, lesions with a shallow and smooth-surfaced depression, or flat lesions), and submucosal cancer (lesions that showed a more uneven stiffened base with an irregularly shaped nodule, or lesions with folds that were interrupted and enlarged).^3,12 Lesions that could not be classified as either mucosal or submucosal cancers because of ambiguous morphology were designated as indeterminate cancers.

3. EUS invasion depth assessment

EUS was performed under conscious sedation using midazolam (2.0 to 7.0 mg) within 2 weeks after endoscopy. EUS was performed using a radial echoendoscope (GF-UM2000; Olympus). On EUS, the first and the second layers correspond to the mucosa, the third layer to the submucosa, the fourth layer to the muscularis propria, and the fifth layer to the serosa.^14,15 Assessment of invasion depth using EUS was rated according to the layer of tumor invasion: mucosa-submucosa1 (m-sm1) (tumor invasion to the first and/or second layer but not to the third layer), submucosa2 (sm2) (tumor invasion to the third layer but not to the fourth layer), and proper muscle or beyond (tumor invasion beyond the third layer). We considered lesions with tumor invasion that were confined within the second layer on EUS to be mucosal or submucosal1 cancers because cancers with minute submucosal invasion (<500 μm from the muscularis mucosae) were very difficult to differentiate from purely mucosal lesions on EUS. For lesions with ulceration, those with smooth tapering of the submucosal layer were considered to be mucosal cancers, those with irregularity of the submucosal layer were classified as submucosal cancers, and those with abrupt interruption of the tapered submucosal layer were considered to be cancers invading the proper muscle or beyond.¹⁶

4. Histologic evaluation

Endoscopically or surgically resected specimens were fixed in 10% formalin. Specimens resected endoscopically were sectioned in 2-mm intervals, and those resected surgically were sectioned in 4-mm intervals. Sectioned specimens were evaluated pathologically according to the World Health Organization classification of gastric cancer.¹⁷ Well- to moderately-differentiated adenocarcinoma and papillary adenocarcinoma were defined as differentiated type adenocarcinomas, whereas poorly-differentiated adenocarcinoma, signet ring cell carcinoma, and mucinous adenocarcinoma were defined as undifferentiated type adenocarcinomas. The depth of submucosal invasion in resected specimens was classified into two groups using the Japanese classification of gastric carcinoma:¹⁸ sm1 (invasion into the submucosa <500 μm from the muscularis mucosae) and sm2 (invasion into the submucosa ≥500 μm from the muscularis mucosae).

5. Endoscopy-based and EUS-based treatment plan

To evaluate the effectiveness of EUS-based treatment plan compared with endoscopy-based treatment plan for selecting the appropriate treatment method, we used a simplified hypothetical treatment algorithm focused on the depth of invasion by conventional endoscopy and EUS. Endoscopy-based treatment plan was as follows: mucosal or indeterminate cancers on conventional endoscopy were allocated to ESD, and submucosal cancers were allocated to surgery. After EUS examination, EUS-based treatment plan was modified as follows: m-sm1 cancers on EUS were allocated to ESD, irrespective of the endoscopy results, and sm2 or advanced cancers on EUS were allocated to surgery. Depth of invasion determined by histologic evaluation was used as the gold standard for the proper selection of treatment modality. Proper selection of treatment was defined that initial treatments by endoscopy or EUS-based treatment plan coincided with those by histologic evaluation focused on the depth of invasion as follows: mucosal or minute submucosal (sm1) cancers on histologic examination were regarded as appropriate candidates for ESD, whereas deep submucosal (sm2) or advanced cancers (proper muscle or beyond) were regarded as surgical candidates. Unnecessary surgery was defined as initial treatment allocated to surgery by endoscopy or EUS-based treatment plan in mucosal or minute submucosal (sm1) cancers on histologic examination. Additional surgery after ESD was defined that surgical treatment was needed as definite treatment in deep submucosal (sm2) or advanced cancers which were initially allocated to ESD by endoscopy or EUS-based treatment. Proper treatment selection, unnecessary surgery and additional surgery after ESD in this study were not real results of our patients but hypothetical treatment results by simplified hypothetical treatment algorithm focused on the depth of invasion.

6. Statistical analysis

Continuous variables are presented as mean±standard deviation. Comparisons between endoscopy-based and EUS-based treatment plans for the proper selection of treatment method were analyzed using the McNemar test. Two-sided p-values <0.05 were considered significant.

RESULTS

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INTRODUCTION
MATERIALS AND METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
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1. Clinicopathologic features

Patient characteristics and clinicopathologic features of the lesions are summarized in Table 1. The mean age of the patients was 62.5 years (range, 38 to 81 years), and the male:female ratio was 3.6:1 (297:83). The mean tumor diameter was 2.2 cm (range, 0.1 to 8.0 cm). Of the 393 lesions, 183 (46.6%) were depressed, and 49 (12.5%) exhibited ulcerative findings. The lesions were mainly located in the lower area of the stomach (78.6%), and 271 (69.0%) were mucosal cancers on final histologic examination. Of the 194 lesions initially treated by ESD, 26 lesions (6.6%) were treated with additional surgery because they were incompletely resected or were outside the expanded criteria for ESD. Finally, 225 lesions (57.3%) were treated by surgery as curative treatment.

2. Invasion depth assessment by conventional endoscopy and EUS

Table 2 shows the results of invasion depth, as assessed by conventional endoscopy or EUS. On depth of invasion assessment by endoscopy, the numbers of mucosal, indeterminate, and submucosal cancers were 253 (64.4%), 56 (14.2%), and 84 (21.4%), respectively. On invasion depth assessment by EUS, the numbers of m-sm1, sm2, and advanced cancers were 214 (54.5%), 166 (42.2%), and 13 (3.3%), respectively. Of the cancers classified as indeterminate on conventional endoscopy, final histologic evaluation identified 34 as mucosal or sm1 cancers (60.7%) and 22 as sm2 or deeper cancers (39.3%). The overall accuracies of the conventional endoscopy and EUS were 73.6% (248/337) and 66.7% (262/393), respectively. Overestimation of EUS (26.5%) was more frequent than that of conventional endoscopy (13.4%), whereas underestimation of EUS (6.9%) was less frequent than that of conventional endoscopy (13.1%). The sensitivity of EUS for T1m was lower than that of conventional endoscopy, whereas the specificity for T1m was higher than that of conventional endoscopy.

3. Proper selection of treatment method by endoscopy-based or EUS-based treatment plan

Results for the selection of hypothetical treatment method according to endoscopy-based or EUS-based plan by simplified hypothetical treatment algorithm are summarized in Table 3 and Fig. 2. Mucosal or indeterminate cancers on conventional endoscopy were allocated to ESD, and submucosal cancers were allocated to surgery. Proper treatment selection rates by endoscopy-based plan were 88.1% (223/253) for mucosal cancers, 60.7% (34/56) for indeterminate cancers, 46.4% (39/84) for submucosal cancers, and 75.3% (296/393) for all tumors. The percentages of proper selection by EUS-based plan were 81.4% (206/253) for endoscopic mucosal cancers, 53.6% (30/56) for indeterminate cancers, 53.6% (45/84) for submucosal cancers, and 71.5% (281/393) for all tumors. For endoscopic mucosal cancers, EUS-based plan significantly reduced the proper selection rate (p=0.036). Proper treatment selection rates did not differ between the two methods for endoscopic indeterminate cancers (p=0.652) and endoscopic submucosal cancers (p=0.070). For EGCs overall, the proper treatment selection rates did not differ between endoscopy-based and EUS-based treatment plans (p=0.184).

For endoscopy-based treatment plan, surgery was necessary in 52 EGCs (13.2%) after ESD, and unnecessary surgery was performed in 45 cancers (11.5%). EUS-based plan changed the therapeutic strategies in 28.2% (111/393) of EGCs: ESD was changed to surgery in 23.3% (59/253) of endoscopic mucosal cancers and 78.6% (44/56) of indeterminate cancers, and surgery was changed to ESD in 9.5% (8/84) of endoscopic submucosal cancers. Surgery was required in 12 EGCs (3.1%) after ESD and unnecessary surgery was performed in 100 cases (25.4%).

DISCUSSION

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Abstract
INTRODUCTION
MATERIALS AND METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
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In the preoperative staging of EGC, the prediction of tumor invasion depth is essential for therapeutic decision-making. Thus, we compared the effectiveness of EUS-based treatment plan with that of endoscopy-based treatment plan for properly selecting the EGC treatment method focused on the prediction of invasion depth. Our data showed that EUS-based plan did not increase the rate of proper selection of treatment method in EGCs, and it even decreased the rate in the subgroup of EGCs identified as mucosal cancers by endoscopy.

Several studies have reported that 15% to 26% of patients treated by endoscopic resection have required additional treatment, including surgical resection, because of noncurative resection.^1,19?22 A considerable number of these additional surgical treatments were required for massive submucosal invasion (beyond sm1) (19% to 44%).^1,19?21 Although EUS has been regarded as the best method for the locoregional assessment of gastric cancer (with a high accuracy),^6?8 controversy remains whether EUS is efficacious in being able to distinguish between mucosal and deeper tumors, and thus reduce the rate of inappropriate treatment selection. Yanai et al.¹² reported that EUS is useful for the assessment of invasion depth, especially in instances when the depth is underestimated by conventional endoscopy. In addition, Okada et al.⁹ reported that EGCs meeting the expanded indication criteria for ESD can be diagnosed with a high accuracy by EUS. On the other hand, other studies reported that differentiated mucosal EGCs <2 cm were precisely staged using endoscopy alone,⁵ and the use of EUS did not increase the accuracy for invasion depth assessment of EGC over the accuracy associated with the use of conventional endoscopy alone.^10,11 These discrepancies may be due to differences between the studies in study populations (all EGCs vs difficult cases by endoscopy), EUS instrument (miniprobe only vs radial echoencoscope or miniprobe), EUS frequencies (12 MHz vs 20 MHz), and EUS invasion depth assessment (blind assessment using photoprints vs retrospective review of medical records).

Endoscopic assessment of invasion depth (mucosa vs submucosa) of EGC is based on the tumor’s surface nodularity, stiffness, and fold morphology, and the accuracy of endoscopic assessment is affected by tumor size, gross morphology, ulceration, location, histologic differentiation, and depth of invasion.^3,4,12 However, there are no standard endoscopic criteria for differentiating mucosal cancers from deeper tumors. Furthermore, some EGCs have ambiguous morphology, which leads to difficulties in evaluating the depth of invasion. In our study, we examined whether EUS is specifically helpful for these tumors. In our hypothetical treatment algorithms, indeterminate cancers on conventional endoscopy were allocated to ESD because less invasive treatment was favored for these lesions. We found that the accuracy rate of EUS for indeterminate cancers was 53.6% (30/56), and the proper selection rates for endoscopy-based plan (60.7%) and EUS-based plan (53.6%) were similar (p=0.652). Moreover, EUS-based plan resulted in a considerable number of unnecessary surgeries in this group (24/56, 42.9%). Thus, EUS did not improve the proper treatment selection rates in EGCs with ambiguous morphology on endoscopy.

Our results also showed that EUS-based plan did not improve the proper selection of treatment method in EGCs overall, as the rate of proper treatment selection was 75.3% with endoscopy and 71.5% (p=0.184) with EUS. This failure of EUS to improve the proper selection rate may be due to one or more of the following explanations. First, conventional endoscopy alone has a sufficient diagnostic accuracy in predicting tumor depth in EGC. One large-scale study reported that conventional endoscopy alone had a diagnostic accuracy of 78%, and a positive predictive value for mucosal cancers of 82.0%, thereby suggesting that endoscopy is sufficient for predicting tumor depth in EGC, without the need for EUS.⁴ Second, the diagnostic accuracy for distinguishing mucosal cancers from submucosal cancers was not significantly different between conventional endoscopy and EUS. According to previous studies, the accuracy rates of conventional endoscopy (72% to 84%)^3?5 did not differ from those of EUS (67% to 82%).^5,9,10 Third, the tendency of EUS to overestimate the depth of invasion might lower the proper selection rate. This overestimation tendency of EUS has been reported in previous studies.^10,12,23 In our study, the overestimation rate (26.5%) of EUS was higher than that of conventional endoscopy (13.4%). Overestimation during EUS occurs with ulceration or fibrosis in the cancer, which is difficult to distinguish from submucosal tumor invasion, whereas endoscopy can differentiate between cancer invasion and ulcer fibrosis more easily than EUS.^5,10 Taking the aforementioned into consideration, EUS may not increase the diagnostic accuracy of tumor depth estimation. Furthermore, the overestimation tendency of EUS might increase the number of unnecessary surgeries. Our results demonstrated that the rate of unnecessary surgeries as initial treatment was greatly increased (11.5% to 25.4%) by EUS-based plan.

EGCs exhibiting a differentiated histology type with minute submucosal penetration (sm1 [<500 μm from the muscularis mucosae]), no lymphatic-vessel invasion, and size ≤3 cm are thought to have a nominal risk of lymph node metastasis and have been included in the expanded indications for ESD.²⁴ However, during the preoperative evaluation, it is quite difficult to differentiate sm1 cancers from mucosal cancers because minute submucosal invasive lesions rarely exhibit morphological characteristics on conventional endoscopy, and because they are also barely detectable on EUS secondary to limitations of EUS resolution.^25?27 Despite these limitations of conventional endoscopy and EUS in differentiating sm1 from mucosal cancers, most sm1 cancers <3 cm are within the expanded indications of ESD, and the treatment plan for these lesions is the same as for mucosal cancers.^24,28 Therefore, we regarded ESD as the proper therapeutic plan for lesions with invasion within the mucosal or sm1 layers on EUS.

A major advantage of our study was our use of prospectively collected conventional endoscopy and EUS data, with real-time diagnosis. In previous studies, endoscopic evaluation and EUS assessment of tumor invasion were performed by retrospective review of recorded still images.^4,5,10?12 However, it is difficult to detect the stiffness of the EGC base by reviewing images. Furthermore, minute submucosal invasion on EUS is prone to remain undetected if images are not recorded accurately, and oblique scanned images tend to overestimate the depth of invasion. Thus, our real-time evaluation of endoscopy and EUS may have provided a particularly accurate evaluation of the two techniques. In addition, our study population was not limited to EGCs with indications for ESD. All EGCs with differentiated histology type were collected to reduce selection bias and to evaluate the effectiveness of EUS-based plan to the actual diagnostic process.

Our study has limitations. First, EUS examinations were performed using a radial echoendoscope. Some authors have reported that the accuracy of the high frequency miniprobe is higher than that of radial EUS.^10,29,30 Thus, the use of a radial echoendoscope might have influenced the diagnostic accuracy of EUS in our study. However, the radial echoendoscope (GF-UM2000; Olympus) we used is switchable between four frequencies: 5, 7.5, 12, and 20 MHz. This frequency range is excellent for precise invasion depth assessment, as well as lymph node assessment. Secondly, EUS evaluation was performed by endoscopists who were not blinded to the results of the conventional endoscopy. Thus, the interpretation of EUS might have been affected by the results of the conventional endoscopy. However, performing EUS while being blinded to the results of conventional endoscopy is difficult to accomplish during the actual diagnostic process of EGC. Thirdly, majority of our study populations were mucosal cancers on final histologic examination (271/393, 69.0%). Thus, this proportion might cause the selection bias of favoring conventional endoscopy. Fourthly, only differentiated-type EGCs were included in the analysis. Thus, this point should be taken into consideration in applying our results.

In conclusion, our study showed that EUS examination did not increase the proper selection of treatment in differentiated-type EGCs, and it increased the rate of unnecessary surgery in selected cases. Thus, routine EUS examination may not be necessary in the preoperative assessment of differentiated-type EGC, especially for endoscopically-presumed mucosal cancers before ESD.

Figures

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Fig. 1.Endoscopic assessment of the depth of invasion in early gastric cancers. Protruding lesions with a smooth surface (A), as well as shallow, depressed, or flat lesions with a smooth surface (B) were considered mucosal cancers. Lesions with an uneven, stiffened base and irregularly shaped nodules or those with enlarged or fused folds (C, D) were considered submucosal cancers. Lesions with ambiguous morphologies were classified as indeterminate cancers (E, F).

Fig. 2.Flowchart of hypothetical treatment selection in the endoscopy-based or the endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS)-based plans. This figure shows the results of hypothetical treatment selection according to endoscopy-based or EUS-based plans, generated by a simplified hypothetical treatment algorithm.

EGC, early gastric cancer; ESD, endoscopic submucosal dissection.

Tables

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Table 1

Patient Characteristics and Clinicopathologic Features of Endoscopically Diagnosed Early Gastric Cancers

Characteristic	Value
Patients characteristic (n=380)
?Age, yr	62.5±8.9 (38?81)
?Male sex	297 (78.2)
Tumor characteristic (n=393)
?Tumor size, cm	2.2±1.2 (0.1?8.0)
??≤1.0	78 (19.8)
??1.0?2.0	128 (32.6)
??2.0?3.0	116 (29.5)
??>3.0	71 (18.1)
?Macroscopic type
??Elevated	174 (44.3)
??Flat	36 (9.2)
??Depressed	183 (46.6)
?Ulcerative findings
??No	344 (87.5)
??Yes	49 (12.5)
?Location within stomach
??Lower	309 (78.6)
??Middle	54 (13.7)
??Upper	30 (7.6)
?Histology
??Papillary	16 (4.1)
??Well differentiated	266 (67.7)
??Moderate differentiated	111 (28.2)
?Depth of invasion
??Mucosa	271 (69.0)
??Submucosa	102 (26.0)
???sm1	31 (30.4)
???sm2	71 (69.6)
?Proper muscle	20 (5.1)
?Treatment methods
??ESD	168 (42.7)
??Additional surgery after ESD	26 (6.6)
??Surgery	199 (50.6)

Table 2

Depth of Tumor Invasion, Based on Conventional Endoscopy and Endoscopic Ultrasonography

	Endoscopic depth diagnosis			EUS depth diagnosis
	Mucosa (n=253)	Indeterminate (n=56)	Submucosa (n=84)	Mucosa-sm1 (n=214)	Submucosa (sm2) (n=166)	Proper muscle (n=13)
Histologic invasion depth
?Mucosa-sm1 (n=302)	223	34	45	202	96	4
?Submucosa 2 (n=71)	28	18	25	12	55	4
?Proper muscle (T2) (n=20)	2	4	14	0	15	5
Overall accuracy	248/337*	73.6 (68.9?78.3)		262/393	66.7 (62.0?71.3)
Accuracy (T1m†)	262/337*	77.7 (73.3?82.2)		281/393	71.5 (67.0?76.0)
Overestimation	45/337*	13.4 (9.7?17.0)		104/393	26.5 (22.1?30.8)
Underestimation	44/337*	13.1 (9.5?16.7)		27/393	6.9 (4.4?9.4)
Sensitivity (T1m†)	223/268	83.2 (78.7?87.7)		202/302	66.9 (61.6?72.2)
Specificity (T1m†)	39/69	56.5 (44.8?68.2)		79/91	86.8 (79.9?93.8)
PPV (T1m†)	223/253	88.1 (84.2?92.1)		202/214	94.4 (91.3?97.5)
NPV (T1m†)	39/84	46.4 (35.8?57.1)		79/179	44.1 (36.9?51.4)

Data are presented as number or % (95% confidence interval).

EUS, endoscopic ultrasonography; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.

^*Excludes 56 indeterminate cancers for calculation;

^†T1m represents mucosal or minute submucosal (sm1) cancer on endoscopic and EUS-based depth evaluations.

Table 3

Selection of a Hypothetical Treatment Method in the Endoscopy-Based or Endoscopic Ultrasonography-Based Treatment Plans

	Conventional endoscopy
	Mucosal cancer			Indeterminate cancer			Submucosal cancer			Total
	Hm,sm1 (n=223)	Hsm2~ (n=30)	Total (n=253)	Hm,sm1 (n=34)	Hsm2~ (n=22)	Total (n=56)	Hm,sm1 (n=45)	Hsm2~ (n=39)	Total (n=84)	Hm,sm1 (n=302)	Hsm2~ (n=91)	Total (n=393)
Um-sm1	185	9	194	10	2	12	7	1	8	202	12	214
Usm2~	38	21	59	24	20	44	38	38	76	100	79	179
Treatment plan
?Endoscopy-based
??ESD	223	30	253	34	22	56	0	0	0	257	52	309
??Surgery	0	0	0	0	0	0	45	39	84	45	39	84
??Proper selection	223	0	223	34	0	34	0	39	39	257	39	296
??Rate (%)			223/253 (88.1)			34/56 (60.7)			39/84 (46.4)			296/393 (75.3)
?EUS-based
??ESD	185	9	194	10	2	12	7	1	8	202	12	214
??Surgery	38	21	59	24	20	44	38	38	76	100	79	179
??Proper selection	185	21	206	10	20	30	7	38	45	202	79	281
??Rate (%)			206/253 (81.4)			30/56 (53.6)			45/84 (53.6)			281/393 (71.5)
?p-value*			0.036			0.652			0.070			0.184

Hm,sm1, mucosal or minute submucosal (sm1) cancer upon histologic examination; Hsm2~, submucosal or deeper cancer (beyond sm1) upon histologic examination; Um-sm1, mucosal or minute submucosal (sm1) cancers in EUS; Usm2~, cancer invading the submucosa2 or beyond on EUS; ESD, endoscopic submucosal dissection; EUS, endoscopic ultrasonography.

^*Comparison of the proper selection rates for the endoscopy-based plan and the EUS-based plan by the McNemar test.

References

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References

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Article

Original Article

Gut Liver 2016; 10(1): 42-50

Published online January 31, 2016 https://doi.org/10.5009/gnl14401